Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:35:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc228…6039
crypto · 797 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$121 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$87 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized+$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses683 / 114
Open positions0
Markets (closed)797 / 797
History coverage46d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day17.3
Drawdown38%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 797 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$17
14 days+$7
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 74¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $4 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 22h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $4 29h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 36h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 44h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 47h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-8.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +4.8% -5.2% 88% 66% -4.2%
≤30d 300 +1.5% -8.1% 83% 60% -7.7%
≤90d 797 +1.7% -8.0% 86% 55% -7.4%
all 797 +1.7% -8.0% 86% 55% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.0% 55% -7.4%
10% -16.8% 27% -16.3%
15% -24.8% 9% -24.4%
20% -32.2% 3% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.32 · official $23.32 (match) · 1490 history records