Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:12:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc22a…2135
sports · 234 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
−$214 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$213 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$213
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses142 / 90
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)232 / 234
History coverage1022d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day0.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit85%
Chart Positions 1 History 232 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14
7 days+$48
14 days−$6
30 days−$275
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No 62¢ 58¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Atalanta BC vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 1.5 Over 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Nets vs. 76ers 76ers 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Manchester United FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 65¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Burnley FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 1 Arsenal FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Genoa CFC vs. Atalanta BC: O/U 1.5 Over 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Athletic Club vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5 Over 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Nuggets vs. Raptors Raptors 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Israel military response against Iran in October? No 61¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Lakers vs. Clippers Lakers 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 225.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Hornets: 1H Moneyline Bucks 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $67 $0 −$67 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Yakult Brothers (BO1) Xtreme Gaming 69¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Over 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-12-14? Yes 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 Over 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
AS Roma vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 3.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5 Under 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 Yes 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$5 -44%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11 +$18 +158%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 205.5 Jun 11 $1 $0 +29%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $1 $0 +18%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $1 +$1 +97%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $1 +$1 +57%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska Jun 10 $1 $0 -44%
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Iceland? Jun 10 $1 +$6 +596%
Argentina leading at halftime? Jun 10 $1 +$1 +55%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $1 −$1 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $20 +$22 +109%
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? Jun 08 $42 −$3 -8%
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Jun 08 $1 $0 -4%
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $1 $0 +3%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 08 $1 $0 +21%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 $0 +13%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-06? Jun 07 $1 +$1 +50%
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $1 +$1 +52%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $3 +$1 +47%
Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $10 +$7 +73%
England vs. New Zealand: Both Teams to Score Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Angola vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5 Jun 06 $1 $0 +42%
Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 25.5 Jun 06 $1 +$1 +101%
Victor Wembanyama: Rebounds O/U 11.5 Jun 05 $1 −$1 -99%
Hong Kong SAR vs. Mongolia: Both Teams to Score Jun 05 $1 $0 +23%
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $1 $0 +16%
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 1.5 Jun 04 $1 $0 +10%
Slovenia vs. Cyprus: O/U 3.5 Jun 04 $1 $0 +2%
Cambodia vs. Bhutan: O/U 5.5 Jun 04 $1 $0 +13%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5 Jun 04 $1 +$1 +65%
Colombia vs. Costa Rica: O/U 0.5 Jun 02 $1 $0 +3%
Austria vs. Tunisia: O/U 0.5 Jun 02 $1 $0 +6%
Canada vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 0.5 Jun 02 $1 $0 +7%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $1 $0 +21%
Norway vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5 Jun 02 $1 $0 +24%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-01? Jun 02 $10 $0 +1%
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: O/U 0.5 Jun 01 $1 $0 +27%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-05-31? Jun 01 $1 $0 +6%
Poland vs. Ukraine: O/U 0.5 Jun 01 $1 $0 +7%
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 1.5 May 31 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET May 31 $5 $0 +6%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $20 +$26 +129%
Arsenal FC leading at halftime? May 30 $1 +$3 +262%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score May 30 $10 +$9 +89%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $69 −$67 -98%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Draw at halftime? May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime? May 30 $1 −$1 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 38% +$40
world 37% −$123
other 22% −$126
crypto 1% −$3
politics 1% −$2
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? BUY No 62¢ $10 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 AND Will United States win BUY 42¢ $10 11h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 16h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $11 24h
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 205.5 BUY Over 77¢ $1 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 211.5 BUY Under 39¢ $1 2d
ITF kiseljak: Josip Simundza vs Yannick Baluska BUY Josip Simundza 89¢ $1 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 84¢ $1 3d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 63¢ $1 3d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $1 3d
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Iceland? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 3d
Argentina leading at halftime? BUY Yes 64¢ $1 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 72¢ $1 3d
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 100¢ $43 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $20 4d
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? BUY No 0¢ $1 4d
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? SELL No 0¢ $0 4d
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees SELL New York Yankees 59¢ $1 4d
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? BUY No 1¢ $1 5d
Jordan vs. Colombia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 97¢ $1 5d
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs BUY LYON 82¢ $1 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? BUY No 6¢ $10 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? SELL No 41¢ $25 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? SELL No 52¢ $14 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? BUY No 26¢ $10 5d
Iran closes its airspace by June 8? BUY No 42¢ $20 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 25 +35.3% +22.4% 68% 64% +55.6%
≤30d 56 +12.5% +1.8% 68% 50% -48.6%
≤90d 56 +12.5% +1.8% 68% 50% -48.6%
all 232 +1.8% -7.9% 61% 53% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.9% 53% -20.0%
10% -16.7% 44% -27.7%
15% -24.7% 34% -34.7%
20% -32.1% 28% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.35 · official $19.35 · 437 history records