Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:34:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc240…d03e
other · 128 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
−$15 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$17 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)11%
Wins / losses14 / 114
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)128 / 128
History coverage125d
Avg bet$232
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 0 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bulls vs. Lakers Bulls 18¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Bulls Bulls 23¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will BNB reach $1,200 in February? Yes 10¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Pacers vs. Kings Pacers 42¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Raptors Mavericks 21¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 14 $24 $0 -0%
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 06 $346 $0 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 22 $163 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio May 19 $169 $0 -0%
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $589 −$1 -0%
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 07 $234 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 05 $230 $0 -0%
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? May 05 $203 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 04 $464 −$1 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? May 04 $471 −$1 -0%
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 04 $397 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e May 03 $570 −$1 -0%
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election May 03 $406 $0 -0%
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 03 $233 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $195 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 02 $239 $0 -0%
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 02 $211 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 01 $202 $0 -0%
Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 30 $195 $0 -0%
Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 30 $411 −$1 -0%
Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 27 $214 $0 -0%
Will Na Kyung-won win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 27 $354 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? Apr 27 $190 $0 -0%
Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 27 $657 −$1 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 26 $247 $0 -0%
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? Apr 26 $193 $0 -0%
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $377 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 22 $171 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 22 $423 $0 -0%
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 21 $215 $0 -0%
Will Clémentine Autain win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 21 $220 $0 -0%
Will Clémence Guetté win the 2027 French presidential election? Apr 20 $206 $0 -0%
Will Lance Stroll be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 20 $870 −$1 -0%
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 20 $205 $0 -0%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 19 $192 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $186 $0 -0%
Will the Colorado Rockies win the 2026 World Series? Apr 19 $232 $0 -0%
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals? Apr 18 $178 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 18 $188 $0 -0%
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin Apr 18 $180 $0 -0%
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential no Apr 18 $247 −$1 -0%
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 17 $211 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 17 $252 $0 -0%
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina Apr 17 $232 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $205 $0 -0%
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $234 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 16 $203 $0 -0%
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on April Apr 15 $198 $0 -0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 15 $189 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? Apr 14 $185 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 46% −$59
politics 34% −$12
sports 10% +$56
crypto 4% −$1
tech 3% −$1
economics 1% $0
world 1% $0
culture 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $24 1h
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $24 8d
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $176 8d
Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $176 22d
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $163 22d
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $163 23d
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio SELL No 100¢ $23 26d
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio SELL No 100¢ $2 26d
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio SELL No 100¢ $6 26d
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio SELL No 100¢ $3 26d
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio SELL No 100¢ $1 26d
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio SELL No 100¢ $133 26d
Will Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential electio BUY No 100¢ $169 38d
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $188 38d
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $188 38d
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $234 38d
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $234 40d
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $230 40d
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $230 40d
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? SELL No 100¢ $203 40d
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026? BUY No 100¢ $203 40d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $217 41d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $217 41d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $238 41d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $238 41d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $188 41d
Will Nico Hülkenberg be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $188 41d
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e SELL No 100¢ $186 41d
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential e BUY No 100¢ $186 42d
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election SELL No 100¢ $212 42d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +7%
net ROI/market (all)-8.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 4 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 95 -0.1% -9.6% 1% 0% -9.6%
all 128 +0.8% -8.8% 11% 7% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.8% 7% -9.6%
10% -17.5% 6% -18.2%
15% -25.5% 5% -26.1%
20% -32.8% 4% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 407 history records