Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:56:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc253…c50a
other · 716 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$7,001 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,960 · open −$41
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$31
Realized−$6,960
Unrealized−$41
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses689 / 193
Whale WR (big bets)97%
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions15
Markets (closed)882 / 716
History coverage28d
Avg bet$262
Trades / day37.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 15 History 882 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4,427
7 days−$6,649
14 days−$6,830
30 days−$6,960
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+0%)
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 10? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 4? Under 49¢ 50¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 2 - 0 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 0 - 3 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 3 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 2 - 2 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 1 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 2 - 3 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 0 - 1 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 0 - 0 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 2 - 1 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 0 - 2 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 1 - 2 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 3 - 2 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 1 - 3 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 1 - 0 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: Notts County FC 1 - 1 Salford City FC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-92%)
Exact Score: US Catanzaro 1929 2 - 1 AC Monza? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 27? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Jordan? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 2 - 0 CA Platense? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Jordan? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: SS Lazio 1 - 2 Pisa SC? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: US Catanzaro 1929 2 - 1 AC Monza? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 27? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 1 Jordan? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 2 - 0 CA Platense? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 2 Jordan? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: SS Lazio 1 - 2 Pisa SC? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: RS Berkane 2 - 0 RCA Zemamra? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: SS Lazio 2 - 3 Pisa SC? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: NK Varaždin 0 - 1 NK Istra 1961? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 2 - 2 CA Platense? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Cameroon vs Sierra Le Jun 12 $95 −$95 -100%
Exact Score: SSC Napoli 0 - 3 Udinese Calcio? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: SS Lazio 1 - 1 Pisa SC? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: SSC Napoli 2 - 0 Udinese Calcio? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: NK Varaždin 2 - 3 NK Istra 1961? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Switzerland 1 - 2 Jordan? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: NK Varaždin 3 - 2 NK Istra 1961? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: US Catanzaro 1929 1 - 0 AC Monza? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 1 - 3 Independiente Santa Fe? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: SS Lazio 0 - 3 Pisa SC? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: SSC Napoli 1 - 1 Udinese Calcio? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
France vs. Northern Ireland: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $556 −$556 -100%
Exact Score: NK Varaždin 1 - 2 NK Istra 1961? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Switzerland 2 - 2 Jordan? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on May 28? Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Will Bruce Banman win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: SSC Napoli 2 - 1 Udinese Calcio? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Broadcom be the third-largest company in the world by market cap Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 3 - 3 Independiente Santa Fe? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 3 - 1 Independiente Santa Fe? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: NK Varaždin 1 - 1 NK Istra 1961? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 0 - 3 CA Platense? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Warren Hamm win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia l Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Switzerland 3 - 1 Jordan? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
between 37 and 39 million view Jun 12 $271 −$271 -100%
Exact Score: NK Varaždin 2 - 1 NK Istra 1961? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: NK Varaždin 0 - 3 NK Istra 1961? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will "Janice STFU - Drake" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: SC Corinthians Paulista 1 - 2 CA Platense? Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Exact Score: US Catanzaro 1929 0 - 3 AC Monza? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: NK Varaždin 2 - 2 NK Istra 1961? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 2 - 1 Independiente Santa Fe? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: NK Varaždin 0 - 2 NK Istra 1961? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 2 - 2 Independiente Santa Fe? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: CDPJuniorFC 1 - 2 Independiente Santa Fe? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: SS Lazio 1 - 3 Pisa SC? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: SSC Napoli 3 - 0 Udinese Calcio? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 27? Jun 12 $31 −$31 -100%
Exact Score: US Catanzaro 1929 2 - 2 AC Monza? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 30% −$2,616
sports 24% +$4
politics 21% +$76
world 11% +$69
weather 6% −$107
crypto 4% +$19
tech 2% +$4
culture 1% +$3
economics 1% +$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: FathUnionSport 1 - 3 Maghreb AS de Fès? BUY No 100¢ $8 1h
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? BUY Yes 100¢ $13 5h
Will the match end in a draw? BUY No 100¢ $5 8h
Will "Lorde" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? BUY No 100¢ $49 9h
Will "Hayley Williams" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? BUY No 100¢ $1 11h
Lukáš Provod: 3+ shots on target BUY No 100¢ $44 11h
Will Donald Trump dance on June 11, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $5 12h
Bae Junho: 5+ shots BUY No 100¢ $50 14h
Hwang Heechan: Anytime Goalscorer BUY No 100¢ $44 14h
Taylor Ward: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $45 16h
Teboho Mokoena: 2+ shots BUY No 100¢ $58 19h
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 19h
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 11, 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 19h
Evan Carter: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $14 19h
Santiago Giménez: 5+ shots BUY No 100¢ $2 20h
Seiya Suzuki: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $14 20h
Michael Busch: Home Runs O/U 1.5 BUY Under 100¢ $14 20h
Álvaro Fidalgo: 1+ assists BUY No 100¢ $44 21h
Kwibuka T20 Tournament, Women: Nigeria vs Zimbabwe High Performance Xi BUY Zimbabwe High Performance Xi 100¢ $577 22h
Marinkov vs. Chan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5 BUY Over 100¢ $14 22h
Cattolica (Doubles): Cornea/Cukierman vs Genov/Whitehouse BUY Cornea/Cukierman 100¢ $17 25h
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australia - Complete BUY Yes 100¢ $168 26h
Freitas vs. Rodrigues: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $2 27h
Nepliy vs. Cirez: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Over 100¢ $16 27h
Set 1 Winner: Cabral/Mektic vs Altmaier/Jebens BUY Cabral/Mektic 99¢ $990 28h
Petak vs. Siniakov: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 BUY Under 100¢ $14 28h
Petak vs. Siniakov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 BUY Under 100¢ $14 28h
ITF Men Ceska Lipa: Completed Match: Denis Petak vs Daniel Siniakov BUY Yes 100¢ $14 28h
ECB rate hike in 2026? BUY Yes 100¢ $999 28h
Set Handicap: Bouchelaghem (-1.5) vs Ivanov (+1.5) BUY Bouchelaghem 100¢ $14 28h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-29.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 399 -45.8% -50.9% 54% 0% -25.4%
≤30d 882 -21.5% -29.0% 78% 0% -12.9%
≤90d 882 -21.5% -29.0% 78% 0% -12.9%
all 882 -21.5% -29.0% 78% 0% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.0% 0% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -35.8% 0% -21.3%
15% -42.0% 0% -28.9%
20% -47.7% 0% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $31.48 · official $31.48 (match) · 1809 history records