Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:16:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc254…9633
crypto · 858 markets active 2d ago
0.0score
−$91 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$48 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$48
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses295 / 563
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)858 / 858
History coverage80d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day30.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 858 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$220
7 days−$220
14 days−$220
30 days−$220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $1 +$1 +70%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $2 +$1 +57%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 6PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -13%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 -1%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -68%
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 26, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$40
other 1% −$3
sports 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 63¢ $2 40h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Daniel Galan 58¢ $1 40h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Amanda Anisimova 57¢ $1 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $2 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 46h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 46h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-18.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 -58.7% -62.7% 20% 15% -56.8%
≤30d 110 -58.7% -62.7% 20% 15% -56.8%
≤90d 858 -10.2% -18.7% 34% 27% -10.7%
all 858 -10.2% -18.7% 34% 27% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.7% 27% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -26.5% 22% -19.2%
15% -33.6% 18% -27.0%
20% -40.1% 15% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records