trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 20 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 100% | 5% | -9.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -8.7% | 5% | -9.3% |
| 10% | -17.5% | 0% | -18.0% |
| 15% | -25.4% | 0% | -25.9% |
| 20% | -32.7% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on June 27? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $32 | $32 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 2? | Jun 01 | $64 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C or below on May 25? | May 24 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April? | Apr 19 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 25°C on April 8? | Apr 07 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 66-67°F on April 1? | Apr 01 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP reach $3.20 in March? | Apr 01 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on | Apr 01 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 31 | $35 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 12°C on March 25? | Mar 25 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m | Mar 18 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on March 18? | Mar 18 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Solana be above $30 on March 1? | Mar 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this | Mar 01 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026? | Feb 09 | $18 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 01 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 01 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sydney Sweeney be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy | Jan 23 | $3 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lucy Liu be nominated for Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards | Jan 23 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Jan 20 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will Solana reach $580 before 2026? | Jan 20 | $105 | $0 | +0% |