Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:48:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc263…362a
crypto · 1564 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1477 / 78
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)1555 / 1564
History coverage13d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day166.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 8 History 1555 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$9
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 14? Yes 96¢ 98¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 13? Yes 98¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+2%)
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on June 14? No 97¢ 98¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on June 14? No 99¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 13? Yes 95¢ 95¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on June 14? No 99¢ 99¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+0%)
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14? No 97¢ 91¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-7%)
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on June 13? Yes 98¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Jun Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 13? Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? Jun 14 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 13 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on June 13? Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 69°F or below on June Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 55% +$4
crypto 41% −$3
other 3% $0
politics 1% $0
sports 0% −$2
finance 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 18m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 33m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Jun SELL Yes 100¢ $6 34m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 48m
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $6 51m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 1h
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 99¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on June 14? BUY No 97¢ $6 2h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 3h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 13? SELL Yes 100¢ $6 3h
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 31°C on June 13? SELL No 100¢ $6 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 699 -1.1% -10.6% 95% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 1555 -0.5% -10.0% 95% 1% -9.5%
≤90d 1555 -0.5% -10.0% 95% 1% -9.5%
all 1555 -0.5% -10.0% 95% 1% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover166.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 1% -9.5%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.2%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.1%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48.01 · official $48.01 (match) · 3500 history records