Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:59:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc271…1708
finance · 92 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$323 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$212 · open +$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,026
Realized+$212
Unrealized+$24
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses36 / 52
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions4
Markets (closed)88 / 92
History coverage53d
Avg bet$226
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown93%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 4 History 88 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$782
7 days−$1,694
14 days−$1,795
30 days+$202
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in June? No 71¢ 72¢ $1,500 $1,500 +$0 (+0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? Yes 83¢ 88¢ $400 $424 +$24 (+6%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? Yes 56¢ 56¢ $100 $99 −$1 (-1%)
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? Yes 69¢ 96¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+39%)
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st? No 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Trump Strait" or "Strait of Trump" in May? Yes 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 21¢ 0¢ $109 $0 −$109 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30? No 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 9? No 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 95¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? No 34¢ 0¢ $510 $0 −$510 (-100%)
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 14 $500 +$1 +0%
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $10 +$65 +633%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 14 $100 −$38 -38%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 −$6 -59%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $92 +$10 +11%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? Jun 14 $21 −$14 -69%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -99%
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $62 −$60 -97%
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? Jun 14 $51 −$11 -21%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Jun 14 $200 −$33 -16%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$11 +111%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$8 -77%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? Jun 13 $112 −$11 -10%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Jun 13 $10 +$6 +56%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $501 −$495 -99%
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Jun 13 $112 −$109 -98%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? Jun 13 $111 −$58 -52%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? Jun 13 $300 +$37 +12%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? Jun 12 $711 +$152 +21%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 11 $1,641 −$1,064 -65%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 05 $100 +$33 +33%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June? Jun 05 $207 −$106 -52%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in June? Jun 04 $100 −$1 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in June? Jun 04 $101 +$12 +12%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June? Jun 04 $101 +$8 +8%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 04 $100 +$17 +18%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Jun 04 $105 +$10 +9%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? Jun 04 $100 +$18 +18%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 04 $100 +$22 +22%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $104 −$104 -100%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 03 $100 +$3 +3%
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra Jun 01 $11 −$1 -11%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? May 31 $1 $0 +26%
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May? May 31 $62 −$11 -18%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May? May 29 $584 +$112 +19%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May? May 29 $3,995 −$41 -1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May? May 29 $682 +$214 +31%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May? May 29 $61 +$30 +49%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May? May 28 $144 +$57 +39%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May? May 28 $101 +$39 +39%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? May 27 $500 +$479 +96%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? May 25 $509 −$57 -11%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? May 25 $501 +$269 +54%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May? May 23 $512 +$396 +77%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 79% +$235
world 13% +$796
other 6% −$700
crypto 2% −$81
sports 0% −$14
economics 0% −$1
tech 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? BUY Yes 56¢ $102 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in June? SELL No 44¢ $84 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in June? BUY Yes 84¢ $302 2h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? SELL No 75¢ $202 2h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL No 44¢ $62 2h
Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 24¢ $4 5h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $10 6h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 94¢ $26 6h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 95¢ $10 6h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 7h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 9¢ $6 7h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 58¢ $10 7h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? BUY Yes 14¢ $10 7h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 7h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 30¢ $12 7h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 7h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 2 Scotland? BUY Yes 22¢ $10 7h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 24¢ $10 7h
Türkiye to score first vs. Australia? BUY Yes 64¢ $10 7h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? SELL Yes 12¢ $64 8h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 5¢ $51 9h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? SELL Yes 5¢ $40 9h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 1 Scotland? BUY Yes 11¢ $51 9h
Exact Score: Haiti 0 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 6¢ $51 9h
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? SELL No 51¢ $86 9h
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 15¢ $10 9h
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Türkiye? BUY Yes 8¢ $10 9h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? SELL Yes 78¢ $22 9h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 0 Scotland? BUY Yes 4¢ $10 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-21.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -25.1% -32.2% 27% 23% -28.9%
≤30d 59 -3.4% -12.6% 47% 41% -1.2%
≤90d 88 -13.0% -21.3% 41% 34% -1.3%
all 88 -13.0% -21.3% 41% 34% -1.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.3% 34% -1.3%
10% -28.8% 22% -10.7%
15% -35.7% 16% -19.4%
20% -42.0% 11% -27.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,026.32 · official $2,026.32 (match) · 322 history records