trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +1.7% | -7.9% | 25% | 0% | -7.6% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 36% | 0% | -9.2% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 36% | 0% | -9.2% |
| all | 25 | -3.0% | -12.2% | 40% | 4% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.2% | 4% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -20.6% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -28.3% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -35.3% | 0% | -33.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 25 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027? | Jun 24 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 23 | $38 | +$3 | +7% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 07 | $64 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 07 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 06 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 06 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 04 | $38 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $43 | −$2 | -4% |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 21 | $2 | $0 | +21% |
| Will Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 27 | $10 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 30 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2025 World Series? | May 27 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Susan Crawford win by 8-10%? | Apr 06 | $14 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem | Apr 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | Apr 04 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will egg prices be less than $5.00 in March? | Apr 02 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Nikita Kucherov win the Hart Trophy? | Apr 01 | $14 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump say "the blacks" by March 28? | Mar 30 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series? | Mar 23 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the Western Conference? | Mar 23 | $2 | $0 | -4% |
| Arsenal wins the Premier League? | Mar 21 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 14-21? | Mar 17 | $14 | $0 | -0% |