Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:19:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc291…5d74
sports · 123 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$63,241 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$63,104 · open +$137
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$65,463
Realized+$63,104
Unrealized+$137
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses133 / 337
Whale WR (big bets)63%
Est. fees paid−$758
Open positions76
Markets (closed)470 / 123
Avg bet$1,904
Trades / day3425.0
Drawdown45%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 76 History 470 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$63,104
7 days+$63,104
14 days+$63,104
30 days+$63,104
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 88¢ 88¢ $9,364 $9,389 +$26 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 84¢ 85¢ $6,260 $6,363 +$103 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 99¢ 99¢ $5,984 $6,002 +$18 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 88¢ 88¢ $5,792 $5,826 +$34 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 94¢ 94¢ $4,266 $4,285 +$19 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 86¢ 86¢ $3,710 $3,735 +$24 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 91¢ 92¢ $2,547 $2,578 +$31 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 90¢ 90¢ $2,278 $2,291 +$13 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 95¢ 95¢ $2,103 $2,108 +$5 (+0%)
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Yes 83¢ 100¢ $1,710 $2,070 +$359 (+21%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 98¢ 98¢ $1,775 $1,763 −$12 (-1%)
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? No 69¢ 100¢ $1,184 $1,727 +$543 (+46%)
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 4.5 Under 90¢ 100¢ $1,545 $1,712 +$166 (+11%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 96¢ 97¢ $1,642 $1,648 +$6 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 99¢ 99¢ $1,338 $1,341 +$2 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 94¢ 94¢ $1,304 $1,310 +$6 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 95¢ 96¢ $805 $809 +$5 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: 1st Half O/U 0.5 Over 63¢ 64¢ $707 $713 +$6 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Under 54¢ 56¢ $666 $690 +$25 (+4%)
Spread: Cambodia (-1.5) Cambodia 17¢ 100¢ $103 $599 +$496 (+483%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 2.5 Under 80¢ 80¢ $588 $593 +$5 (+1%)
Exact Score: Cambodia 1 - 1 Hong Kong SAR? No 85¢ 100¢ $426 $501 +$75 (+18%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 98¢ 98¢ $459 $461 +$2 (+1%)
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? No 78¢ 100¢ $331 $426 +$95 (+29%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 48¢ 60¢ $303 $379 +$76 (+25%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Cambodia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $1,710 +$359 +21%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $1,184 +$543 +46%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1,545 +$166 +11%
Spread: Cambodia (-1.5) Jun 12 $103 +$496 +484%
Exact Score: Cambodia 1 - 1 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $426 +$75 +18%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 12 $331 +$95 +29%
Exact Score: Cambodia 0 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $244 +$20 +8%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $244 +$19 +8%
Spread: Hong Kong SAR (-1.5) Jun 12 $208 +$45 +22%
Exact Score: Cambodia 1 - 2 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $214 +$21 +10%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $184 +$11 +6%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $140 +$49 +35%
Exact Score: Cambodia 0 - 1 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $134 +$21 +16%
Spread: Cambodia (-2.5) Jun 12 $122 +$23 +19%
Exact Score: Cambodia 2 - 1 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $120 +$15 +13%
Exact Score: Cambodia 3 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $102 +$23 +23%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $61 +$38 +63%
Exact Score: Cambodia 1 - 3 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $82 +$4 +5%
Exact Score: Cambodia 2 - 3 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $84 +$1 +1%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $29 +$34 +116%
Exact Score: Cambodia 2 - 2 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $33 +$1 +3%
Exact Score: Cambodia 0 - 2 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $20 +$2 +8%
Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $14 +$2 +11%
Exact Score: Cambodia 3 - 3 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
FC Lorient vs. Olympique de Marseille: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $1 $0 +61%
Will HNK Vukovar 1991 vs. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +285%
Will AS Nancy-Lorraine win on 2026-04-25? Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
CR Flamengo vs. Coritiba FBC: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
UD Las Palmas vs. Málaga CF: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +22%
Luxembourg vs. Italy: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +270%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 168.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Le Havre AC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Racing Club de Lens vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 +$1 +163%
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
Independiente Santa Fe vs. CA Platense: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +163%
Cádiz CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
Real Sociedad de Fútbol B vs. CD Mirandés: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Will Club Universitario de Deportes vs. CD Tolima end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 +150%
CD La Serena vs. CD Limache: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +203%
Spread: Audax CS Italiano (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 +$1 +734%
Kahrabaa Ismailia FC vs. Haras El Hodood SC: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Will CF América win on 2026-02-28? Jun 12 $0 $0 +82%
Exact Score: CR Vasco da Gama 2 - 2 CA Mineiro? Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Spread: Cuiabá EC (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Will Al Taawoun Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 +233%
Varbergs BoIS vs. Norrby IF: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $0 $0 +104%
Spread: Club Cerro Porteño (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +33%
Peru vs. Spain: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +72%
Spread: Serbia (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% +$60,765
sports 31% +$19,481
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 94¢ $137 0m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 87¢ $32 0m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $16 0m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $39 0m
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 BUY Under 21¢ $0 1m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $9 1m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $393 1m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 87¢ $9 1m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 87¢ $95 1m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $16 1m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 94¢ $125 2m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $202 2m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $12 3m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $16 3m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $26 3m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $202 3m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $660 3m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $25 3m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $11 3m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 90¢ $9 4m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $593 4m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $39 4m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 85¢ $24 5m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 91¢ $10 5m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 90¢ $79 5m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 90¢ $17 5m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 69¢ $218 5m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 88¢ $31 6m
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 88¢ $64 6m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 94¢ $594 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-38.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 470 -32.5% -38.9% 28% 23% +17.5%
≤30d 470 -32.5% -38.9% 28% 23% +17.5%
≤90d 470 -32.5% -38.9% 28% 23% +17.5%
all 470 -32.5% -38.9% 28% 23% +17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3425.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -38.9% 23% +17.5%
10% ← realistic here -44.8% 19% +6.3%
15% -50.1% 17% -4.0%
20% -55.0% 16% -13.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $65,463.30 · official $65,434.35 (match) · 3500 history records