Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:15:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2ab…7102
crypto · 879 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$98 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$97 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$97
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses442 / 432
Open positions5
Markets (closed)874 / 879
History coverage108d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 5 History 874 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$130
7 days−$130
14 days−$130
30 days−$130
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 15¢ 36¢ $2 $5 +$3 (+143%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 85¢ 74¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 48¢ 40¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-16%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 44¢ 28¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-35%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+92%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 12¢ 2¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -22%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +76%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +105%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +119%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +114%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +34%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -31%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$4 +198%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -44%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$3 +146%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$123
tech 5% +$25
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $2 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 5m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 15m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 19m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 32m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $2 37m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 39m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 45m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 867 -5.6% -14.6% 50% 43% -15.8%
≤30d 867 -5.6% -14.6% 50% 43% -15.8%
≤90d 867 -5.6% -14.6% 50% 43% -15.8%
all 874 -4.9% -13.9% 51% 43% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 43% -13.9%
10% -22.2% 39% -22.2%
15% -29.7% 32% -29.7%
20% -36.6% 27% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.40 · official $10.21 (match) · 1599 history records