Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:09:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2ad…40ed
crypto · 572 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$718 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$569 · open +$101
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$829
Realized+$569
Unrealized+$101
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses215 / 346
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Open positions12
Markets (closed)561 / 572
History coverage1d
Avg bet$79
Trades / day2824.0
Drawdown97%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 12 History 561 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$569
7 days+$569
14 days+$569
30 days+$569
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 59¢ 76¢ $177 $230 +$52 (+30%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 71¢ 74¢ $170 $179 +$8 (+5%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 78¢ 77¢ $117 $115 −$1 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Down 38¢ 42¢ $76 $83 +$7 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Down 35¢ 40¢ $64 $75 +$10 (+16%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 24¢ 41¢ $24 $41 +$16 (+67%)
Solana Up or Down on June 13? Down 41¢ 50¢ $30 $36 +$6 (+21%)
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 13? Down 40¢ 44¢ $32 $36 +$4 (+13%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 29¢ 25¢ $26 $23 −$4 (-14%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 23¢ 23¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 27¢ 28¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-83%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $36 −$36 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$228 +373%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$10 -17%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$2 +203%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $265 +$34 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $492 +$134 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1,785 −$597 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $478 +$165 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $278 +$117 +42%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $112 −$11 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $410 +$79 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $270 +$104 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $881 −$255 -29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $214 +$86 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $232 +$38 +16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $617 +$50 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1,858 −$582 -31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $52 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $149 +$34 +23%
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $224 +$15 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $179 −$179 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $1,359 +$441 +32%
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $557 +$17 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $427 +$76 +18%
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $92 +$19 +21%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $111 +$29 +27%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $247 −$97 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $129 +$41 +32%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $476 +$3 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$124 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,986 −$87 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $219 +$22 +10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $81 −$1 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $23 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $273 +$27 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $114 +$13 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $245 +$5 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$24 +92%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$735
other 4% −$66
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $177 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $35 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $0 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $39 13m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $4 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $0 15m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $53 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $4 16m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 19m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $28 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $36 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $0 23m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $13 23m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 27m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 31¢ $16 30m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $39 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $163 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $23 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 33m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 561 -9.3% -17.9% 38% 31% -8.4%
≤30d 561 -9.3% -17.9% 38% 31% -8.4%
≤90d 561 -9.3% -17.9% 38% 31% -8.4%
all 561 -9.3% -17.9% 38% 31% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2824.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 31% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 25% -17.1%
15% -33.0% 20% -25.1%
20% -39.5% 17% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $829.13 · official $745.28 · 3500 history records