Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T22:56:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

3.5
score
C2 0xc2af…eced other 6 markets active 1h ago coverage 212d
RISKYcopy with care ⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,493 (-95%) realized −$1,493 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -96% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -96% what you keep after slip
Net edge-96%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 6L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$261per market
Trades / day0.0pace
Kalshi-fit50%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 212d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 77% −$1,199
other 22% −$305
crypto 2% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-95.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -91.0% -91.9% 0% 0% -80.8%
≤30d 4 -93.3% -93.9% 0% 0% -92.9%
≤90d 4 -93.3% -93.9% 0% 0% -92.9%
all 6 -95.5% -95.9% 0% 0% -98.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover0.0 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -95.9% 0% -98.4%
10% -96.3% 0% -98.6%
15% -96.7% 0% -98.7%
20% -97.0% 0% -98.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -92% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -96% · $-wt -98% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
— vs −$255 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

212d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,493
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 6
Open positions0
Markets (closed)6 / 6
History coverage212d
Avg bet$261
Trades / day0.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit50%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 6 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 23 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 23 $26 −$25 -98%
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $100 −$73 -73%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $219 −$214 -98%
Colts vs. Chiefs Nov 23 $1,199 −$1,199 -100%
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? Nov 23 $18 −$18 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 23, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $26 1h
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 0¢ $27 1h
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $100 7d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 14¢ $85 7d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 14¢ $115 7d
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? BUY Yes 14¢ $20 7d
Colts vs. Chiefs BUY Colts 32¢ $999 212d
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $18 212d
Colts vs. Chiefs BUY Colts 34¢ $200 212d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 17 history records