Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:49:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2b5…fa5d
crypto · 282 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$156 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$242 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$242
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses255 / 27
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)282 / 282
History coverage17d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day21.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 282 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$138
7 days−$306
14 days−$271
30 days−$242
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $56 $0 −$56 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska 16¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $55 $0 −$55 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 99¢ 0¢ $57 $0 −$57 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $33 −$6 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$30 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$3 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $40 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$14 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$8 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $94 −$39 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$15 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$6 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$7 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$18 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$7 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $26 +$12 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$8 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$12 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$19 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $88 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$23 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$8 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $17 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $16 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $50 −$47 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 09 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 08 $55 +$3 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 08 $57 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 08 $57 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 08 $51 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 08 $57 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 08 $93 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 08 $57 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 08 $57 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$237
sports 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET SELL Up 14¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $7 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $40 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $31 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $25 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $19 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 26¢ $55 22h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-12.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 86 -9.2% -17.8% 78% 16% -17.5%
≤30d 282 -2.8% -12.0% 90% 9% -11.1%
≤90d 282 -2.8% -12.0% 90% 9% -11.1%
all 282 -2.8% -12.0% 90% 9% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.0% 9% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.4% 5% -19.6%
15% -28.1% 4% -27.4%
20% -35.2% 2% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 628 history records