trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +46.3% | +32.4% | 50% | 50% | +23.9% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +11.8% | +1.1% | 38% | 38% | -3.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +11.8% | +1.1% | 38% | 38% | -3.6% |
| all | 13 | +11.8% | +1.1% | 38% | 38% | -3.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +1.1% | 38% | -3.6% |
| 10% | -8.6% | 38% | -12.8% |
| 15% | -17.4% | 31% | -21.2% |
| 20% | -25.5% | 23% | -29.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Africa advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 63¢ | 84¢ | $100 | $134 | +$34 (+34%) |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Yes | 30¢ | 42¢ | $30 | $42 | +$12 (+42%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $30 | −$30 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $51 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $31 | +$41 | +134% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $30 | +$28 | +93% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $31 | +$51 | +165% |
| Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$4 | -9% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $50 | +$21 | +42% |
| Will Chun Jae-soo win the 2026 Busan Mayoral Election? | Jun 04 | $202 | +$61 | +30% |
| Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 03 | $52 | −$31 | -60% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 03 | $155 | −$44 | -28% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | May 29 | $202 | −$10 | -5% |
| Will voter turnout be between 50% and 55% in the 2026 Seoul mayoral el | May 28 | $103 | −$4 | -4% |