Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:23:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2be…af12
sports · 585 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,173 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$762 · open −$411
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,196
Realized−$762
Unrealized−$411
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses268 / 292
Est. fees paid−$364
Open positions25
Markets (closed)560 / 585
History coverage45d
Avg bet$46
Trades / day43.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 25 History 560 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$378
7 days+$752
14 days+$618
30 days+$618
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Tatiana Prozorova 58¢ 100¢ $177 $303 +$126 (+71%)
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Under 61¢ 78¢ $167 $214 +$47 (+28%)
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Magda Linette 62¢ 96¢ $130 $204 +$74 (+56%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 35¢ 35¢ $177 $176 −$1 (-0%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 59¢ 78¢ $127 $169 +$42 (+33%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 71¢ 65¢ $143 $131 −$12 (-8%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 71¢ 88¢ $95 $118 +$23 (+25%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 55¢ 45¢ $124 $101 −$23 (-19%)
Cattolica (Doubles): Grevelius/Heinonen vs Jong/Hermans Grevelius/Heinonen 41¢ 85¢ $41 $86 +$44 (+107%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 60¢ 72¢ $61 $72 +$12 (+19%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 71¢ 70¢ $72 $71 −$1 (-1%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 47¢ 55¢ $52 $61 +$9 (+18%)
Shelton vs. Giron: Match O/U 23.5 Over 63¢ 99¢ $38 $60 +$22 (+57%)
Mandlik vs. Galfi: Match O/U 21.5 Over 59¢ 50¢ $60 $50 −$9 (-15%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Arthur Gea 20¢ 28¢ $29 $42 +$12 (+42%)
Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Bublik Perricard 30¢ 42¢ $28 $40 +$12 (+42%)
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Over 42¢ 22¢ $75 $38 −$37 (-49%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 43¢ 22¢ $71 $35 −$35 (-50%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 34¢ 35¢ $33 $35 +$1 (+4%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 31¢ 30¢ $31 $30 −$1 (-3%)
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Zdenek Kolar 37¢ 22¢ $48 $29 −$19 (-39%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Lucrezia Stefanini 29¢ 26¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-9%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Leyre Romero Gormaz 25¢ 12¢ $38 $17 −$21 (-55%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 52¢ 100¢ $7 $14 +$7 (+92%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 56¢ 14¢ $56 $13 −$42 (-76%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Danilina/Krunic vs Mihalikova/Nicholls Jun 12 $2 +$1 +29%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $235 +$75 +32%
Daniil Medvedev vs. Thijs Boogaard: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $51 +$10 +20%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $205 −$4 -2%
Set 1 Winner: Dart vs Rakhimova Jun 12 $5 +$8 +172%
Elena Rybakina vs. Tatjana Maria: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $103 −$2 -2%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $351 +$46 +13%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julie Struplova vs Martha Matoula Jun 12 $160 +$41 +26%
Set 2 Winner: Medvedev vs Boogaard Jun 12 $32 +$29 +90%
Libema Open (Doubles): Pavlasek/Rikl vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 12 $20 +$5 +22%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $121 −$23 -19%
Libema Open (Doubles): Arends/Pel vs Diallo/Hurkacz Jun 12 $15 +$10 +64%
Zhang vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 12 $111 −$10 -9%
Zhang vs. Mannarino: Match O/U 22.5 Jun 12 $54 +$47 +86%
Set 1 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $80 +$26 +33%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Marie Bouzkova vs. Donna Vekic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Zhang vs Mannarino Jun 12 $164 +$37 +22%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $54 −$54 -99%
Lyon (Doubles): Ruehl/Wehnelt vs Mansouri/Neuchrist Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Bouzkova vs Vekic Jun 12 $81 −$20 -25%
Set 2 Winner: Rybakina vs Maria Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Caty McNally vs. Solana Sierra: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$2 +52%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
ITF Hurghada: Valentina Ryser vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson Jun 12 $12 −$12 -97%
ITF Hurghada: Anastasia Tikhonova vs Sandra Samir Jun 12 $16 −$15 -98%
ITF Wuning: Mei Yamaguchi vs Zongyu Li Jun 12 $77 −$11 -14%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $10 −$3 -33%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $114 −$30 -26%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $172 +$70 +41%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $9 −$4 -43%
Set 1 Winner: Coria vs Collarini Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Set 1 Winner: Shelton vs Giron Jun 11 $29 +$32 +110%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $51 +$9 +18%
Modena (Doubles): Gorgodze/Karamoko vs Basiletti/Pedone Jun 11 $40 +$20 +50%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $55 −$25 -46%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $5 $0 -5%
Ilkley (Doubles): Kozyreva/Shymanovich vs Jones/Podrez Jun 11 $2 +$5 +307%
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Bublik/Kyrgios vs Paul/Seggerman Jun 11 $268 +$20 +8%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Landaluce vs Fritz Jun 11 $93 +$7 +8%
Libema Open (Doubles): Balaji/Ram vs Bergs/Rinderknech Jun 11 $19 −$13 -66%
Cattolica: Enrico Dalla Valle vs Carlos Sanchez Jover Jun 11 $4 +$1 +31%
Ilkley (Doubles): Corley/Ngounoue vs Brooks/Rajecki Jun 11 $2 +$2 +101%
Ilkley (Doubles): Harrison/Osborne vs Kuwata/Sawangkaew Jun 11 $37 +$23 +62%
Set 1 Winner: Borges vs Cilic Jun 11 $2 +$3 +114%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $6 −$6 -99%
ITF Zagreb: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Ipek Oz Jun 11 $118 −$39 -33%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $19 +$14 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$1,173
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 43¢ $6 0m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 41¢ $39 0m
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi BUY Dalma Galfi 34¢ $34 2m
Set 1 Winner: Perricard vs Bublik BUY Perricard 30¢ $29 8m
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 48¢ $3 11m
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini BUY Lucrezia Stefanini 29¢ $31 13m
Cattolica (Doubles): Grevelius/Heinonen vs Jong/Hermans BUY Jong/Hermans 22¢ $2 17m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 20¢ $30 17m
Cattolica (Doubles): Grevelius/Heinonen vs Jong/Hermans BUY Jong/Hermans 19¢ $2 17m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 57¢ $6 20m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 54¢ $54 23m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 54¢ $50 24m
Cattolica (Doubles): Grevelius/Heinonen vs Jong/Hermans BUY Jong/Hermans 26¢ $5 26m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 47¢ $2 29m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 80¢ $78 30m
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 37¢ $10 30m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 17¢ $7 31m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 46¢ $44 31m
Mandlik vs. Galfi: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 59¢ $60 31m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 68¢ $19 35m
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY August Holmgren 45¢ $0 39m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 21¢ $1 44m
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 37¢ $2 45m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 81¢ $81 45m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Mark Lajal 60¢ $61 45m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 31¢ $32 47m
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Zdenek Kolar 37¢ $49 48m
Bonzi vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 23¢ $12 54m
Set 1 Winner: Cirstea vs Raducanu BUY Raducanu 79¢ $9 57m
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Zeynep Sonmez 49¢ $2 58m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 313 +10.5% -0.0% 53% 46% -5.0%
≤30d 377 +6.4% -3.7% 51% 44% -6.3%
≤90d 560 -1.3% -10.7% 48% 41% -12.3%
all 560 -1.3% -10.7% 48% 41% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.7% 41% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -19.2% 34% -20.7%
15% -27.0% 28% -28.4%
20% -34.2% 22% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,195.55 · official $2,193.75 (match) · 2412 history records