Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2c8…5471
other · 71 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$33,464 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$36,253 · open +$1,787
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$105,007
Realized−$36,253
Unrealized+$1,787
Win rate (resolved)66%
Wins / losses40 / 21
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Open positions42
Markets (closed)61 / 71
Avg bet$4,069
Trades / day2268.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 42 History 61 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36,253
7 days−$36,253
14 days−$36,253
30 days−$36,253
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? No 87¢ 88¢ $10,936 $11,038 +$102 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 90¢ 91¢ $8,871 $8,920 +$49 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 87¢ 89¢ $8,749 $8,900 +$150 (+2%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? No 87¢ 88¢ $8,750 $8,800 +$50 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 97¢ 99¢ $8,233 $8,386 +$152 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 82¢ 85¢ $8,088 $8,333 +$245 (+3%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 3 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 97¢ 98¢ $4,830 $4,908 +$78 (+2%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? No 94¢ 95¢ $4,636 $4,686 +$49 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? No 96¢ 98¢ $4,588 $4,654 +$67 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 87¢ 88¢ $4,350 $4,400 +$50 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 84¢ 86¢ $4,200 $4,300 +$100 (+2%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? No 84¢ 84¢ $4,209 $4,209 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 89¢ 90¢ $2,555 $2,584 +$29 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? No 92¢ 93¢ $2,193 $2,217 +$24 (+1%)
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1,540 $1,796 +$257 (+17%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? No 93¢ 95¢ $1,654 $1,684 +$29 (+2%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 2 Paraguay? No 94¢ 95¢ $1,639 $1,668 +$29 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 93¢ 95¢ $1,588 $1,624 +$37 (+2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1,486 $1,494 +$8 (+1%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? No 90¢ 90¢ $1,360 $1,368 +$8 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 92¢ 94¢ $1,302 $1,334 +$32 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 3 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 96¢ 98¢ $1,298 $1,327 +$29 (+2%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 92¢ 94¢ $1,120 $1,138 +$18 (+2%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? No 97¢ 99¢ $782 $794 +$11 (+1%)
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? No 93¢ 96¢ $711 $730 +$18 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 5 - 4 FC Bayern München? Jun 12 $234 −$234 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-05? Jun 12 $7,800 −$7,800 -100%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? Jun 12 $3,411 −$3,411 -100%
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$7 -41535%
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 $0 -118%
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$20 -326471%
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC? Jun 12 $853 −$853 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Jun 12 $0 +$100 +878552%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 12 $1,981 +$466 +24%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $5,712 −$5,612 -98%
Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 1 - 1 Arsenal FC? Jun 12 $1,540 −$1,540 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Roman Safiullin Jun 12 $40 −$5 -14%
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 −$10 -75038%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $0 +$500 +372186%
Will France win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$5 +53371%
Will FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $16,400 −$16,400 -100%
Exact Score: Manchester City FC 3 - 0 Crystal Palace FC? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $12 −$15 -118%
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $0 +$3 +374775%
Exact Score: FC Barcelona 2 - 0 Real Madrid CF? Jun 12 $1,860 −$1,860 -100%
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Chelsea FC? Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026? Jun 12 $909 −$762 -84%
Roland Garros WTA: Sara Bejlek vs Iga Swiatek Jun 12 $72 −$71 -99%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $21,300 −$21,300 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Emerson Jones vs Iga Swiatek Jun 12 $18 +$69 +374%
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-05-18? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +22236%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,549 +$451 +10%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,455 +$557 +12%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $2,829 +$361 +13%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $1,198 +$96 +8%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 3 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,933 +$67 +1%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $5,246 +$742 +14%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,829 +$881 +18%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 0 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,865 +$136 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,033 +$619 +15%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $3,065 +$118 +4%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 12 $2,970 +$321 +11%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 3 Czechia? Jun 12 $1,362 +$41 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 3 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,875 +$125 +3%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,275 +$96 +2%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,700 +$300 +6%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 3 Czechia? Jun 12 $4,905 +$95 +2%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $8,379 +$1,222 +15%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $5,783 +$1,217 +21%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $6,396 +$604 +9%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 11 $6,980 +$1,038 +15%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $5,506 +$1,494 +27%
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 South Africa? Jun 11 $6,415 +$586 +9%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 11 $6,234 +$766 +12%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 2 South Africa? Jun 11 $6,171 +$829 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% +$24,381
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 87¢ $51 0m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? SELL No 96¢ $21 1m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? SELL No 94¢ $21 1m
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? SELL No 91¢ $20 1m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Paraguay? SELL No 99¢ $22 1m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 87¢ $13 1m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? SELL No 90¢ $15 1m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 92¢ $1 3m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 92¢ $20 3m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 86¢ $19 3m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 87¢ $100 3m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 87¢ $149 4m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 92¢ $38 4m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 86¢ $35 4m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 92¢ $16 5m
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? SELL No 86¢ $15 5m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 92¢ $58 5m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 92¢ $33 7m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 94¢ $45 8m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $6 8m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $179 8m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $145 9m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? SELL No 96¢ $15 9m
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? SELL No 91¢ $15 10m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $8 11m
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY No 89¢ $196 11m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $1,848 11m
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? SELL No 91¢ $26 11m
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 82¢ $9 11m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $246 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+125.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +149.5% +125.7% 66% 43% -23.6%
≤30d 61 +149.5% +125.7% 66% 43% -23.6%
≤90d 61 +149.5% +125.7% 66% 43% -23.6%
all 61 +149.5% +125.7% 66% 43% -23.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2268.6 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +125.7% 43% -23.6%
10% +104.1% 23% -30.9%
15% ← realistic here +84.4% 18% -37.6%
20% +66.3% 15% -43.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $105,007.10 · official $104,979.17 (match) · 3500 history records