Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:08:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2db…6865
crypto · 752 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,931 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,922 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,470
Realized−$2,922
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses514 / 235
Whale WR (big bets)86%
Est. fees paid−$52
Open positions3
Markets (closed)749 / 752
History coverage151d
Avg bet$522
Trades / day16.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 3 History 749 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,697
7 days−$1,351
14 days−$2,594
30 days−$2,295
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? Yes 89¢ 88¢ $4,450 $4,425 −$25 (-1%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Team Liquid 99¢ 100¢ $990 $1,000 +$10 (+1%)
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 77¢ 90¢ $38 $45 +$7 (+18%)
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 6? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? No 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on May 22? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15? No 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on May 17? Yes 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7? No 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs FlyQuest 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 22? No 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June? No 12¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Drill Baby Drill" at The Villages on May 1? No 69¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports - Game 3 Winner Team WE 86¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Karmine Corp 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Trump say "Venezuela" at The Villages on May 1? No 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on June 2? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Will the price of XRP be above $1.40 on May 3? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7? No 83¢ 0¢ $225 $0 −$225 (-100%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7? No 64¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May? No 26¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2? Down 13¢ 0¢ $33 $0 −$33 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? Jun 13 $61 −$27 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $354 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $1,926 +$19 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $134 +$83 +62%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,489 −$214 -14%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 13? Jun 13 $907 +$100 +11%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $3,960 +$40 +1%
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? Jun 13 $4,810 −$1,900 -40%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T? Jun 12 $4,891 +$9 +0%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June? Jun 12 $2,476 +$35 +1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in June? Jun 12 $1,618 +$152 +9%
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30? Jun 11 $883 +$99 +11%
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? Jun 07 $343 −$134 -39%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June? Jun 07 $1,121 +$281 +25%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June? Jun 07 $691 +$94 +14%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $94 +$6 +6%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $5 $0 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $1,045 +$21 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 5? Jun 06 $494 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 05 $119 +$6 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $1,612 −$103 -6%
Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on June 6? Jun 05 $5 −$5 -94%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in June? Jun 05 $707 +$23 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7? Jun 05 $1,868 −$738 -40%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $15 +$5 +33%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 4? Jun 05 $482 +$8 +2%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 4? Jun 04 $11 +$9 +79%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 04 $12 +$8 +70%
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? Jun 04 $46 +$2 +5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7? Jun 04 $460 −$176 -38%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $2,084 +$116 +6%
Will Solana dip to $70 in June? Jun 04 $77 −$77 -100%
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Jun 04 $92 −$4 -4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $9 −$8 -94%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June? Jun 03 $39 −$37 -94%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on June 3? Jun 03 $10 −$1 -8%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 on June 2? Jun 03 $131 +$8 +6%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 3? Jun 03 $6 −$1 -12%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 June 1-7? Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 on June 2? Jun 03 $184 +$13 +7%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $52 −$12 -23%
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 2? Jun 03 $36 +$25 +70%
Will XRP dip to $1.20 in June? Jun 03 $1,404 +$73 +5%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 03 $294 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 1-7? Jun 03 $228 −$225 -99%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 June 1-7? Jun 03 $65 −$64 -98%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $10 −$10 -99%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 2? Jun 02 $508 +$2 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
finance 35% −$1,809
crypto 24% −$1,755
other 16% +$2,667
sports 8% −$184
world 6% −$2,086
tech 5% +$305
politics 2% −$78
culture 2% +$22
economics 1% −$41
weather 0% +$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? SELL No 24¢ $34 32m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 23¢ $12 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Liquid 99¢ $990 1h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 89¢ $4,206 6h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31? BUY Yes 89¢ $244 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 49¢ $1 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 49¢ $32 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 49¢ $1 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 49¢ $3 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 49¢ $1 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 49¢ $5 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 49¢ $1 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 49¢ $1 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 49¢ $1 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 14? BUY No 49¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 99¢ $1,926 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 99¢ $354 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 70¢ $35 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 70¢ $63 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 13? SELL Yes 85¢ $119 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $152 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $1 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $797 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $542 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $279 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $66 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $14 10h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $28 10h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 87¢ $6 11h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 90¢ $819 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-8.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 +0.4% -9.2% 75% 31% -14.3%
≤30d 189 -6.6% -15.5% 71% 21% -12.5%
≤90d 515 -3.4% -12.6% 71% 25% -11.0%
all 749 +1.3% -8.4% 69% 26% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.0 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.4% 26% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -17.1% 17% -18.8%
15% -25.2% 12% -26.6%
20% -32.5% 10% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,469.75 · official $5,469.75 (match) · 3045 history records