Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:26:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C2
0xc2e5…b3a5
sports · 293 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$57,941 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61,190 · open +$3,210
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$48,967
Realized−$61,190
Unrealized+$3,210
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses142 / 362
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$3,884
Open positions18
Markets (closed)504 / 293
History coverage15d
Avg bet$1,409
Trades / day206.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 18 History 504 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$67,125
7 days−$59,578
14 days−$64,954
30 days−$61,190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 87¢ 99¢ $11,791 $13,489 +$1,699 (+14%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 78¢ 98¢ $9,415 $11,892 +$2,477 (+26%)
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 47¢ 40¢ $5,963 $5,124 −$839 (-14%)
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? Yes 75¢ 72¢ $4,694 $4,537 −$156 (-3%)
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 21¢ 21¢ $3,870 $3,919 +$49 (+1%)
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 25¢ 34¢ $2,912 $3,863 +$951 (+33%)
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election? No 75¢ 72¢ $2,919 $2,809 −$110 (-4%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 21¢ 22¢ $1,747 $1,794 +$47 (+3%)
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 29¢ 12¢ $1,122 $477 −$645 (-57%)
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Yes 83¢ 86¢ $307 $319 +$12 (+4%)
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 9¢ 5¢ $513 $283 −$230 (-45%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 62¢ 80¢ $217 $277 +$60 (+28%)
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 8¢ 4¢ $271 $162 −$109 (-40%)
Will Paper Rex win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 35¢ 44¢ $7 $9 +$2 (+27%)
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+34%)
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? No 60¢ 80¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+35%)
Will Leviatán win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 9¢ 3¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-65%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 27¢ 28¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 51¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 19¢ 0¢ $332 $0 −$332 (-100%)
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Gen.G Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 2 Gen.G Esports 4¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Karmine Corp 57¢ 0¢ $562 $0 −$562 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $102 −$102 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $332 −$332 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $562 −$563 -100%
Counter-Strike: The Huns Esports vs Fisher College - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $733 −$735 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Passion UA - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $33 −$33 -100%
LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $320 −$320 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $187 −$187 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $58 −$58 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $333 −$333 -100%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Jun 14 $472 −$472 -100%
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $51 −$51 -100%
Valorant: YFP Gaming vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $369 −$369 -100%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 3 Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,028 −$1,028 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $602 −$602 -100%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Roun Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs Astralis - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $266 −$266 -100%
Will BetBoom Team win IEM Atlanta 2026? Jun 14 $103 −$103 -100%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Grou Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy (BO3) Jun 14 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Ch Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $429 −$414 -96%
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven Jun 14 $1,910 −$1,775 -93%
LoL: MVK Esports vs Ground Zero Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Jun 14 $173 −$173 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7AM ET Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 6PM ET Jun 14 $186 −$186 -100%
Will the Orlando Magic make the NBA Playoffs? Jun 14 $25 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $96 −$96 -100%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $289 −$125 -43%
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs HANJIN BRION Challengers - Game 1 Winne Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $18 −$37 -209%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $437 −$437 -100%
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will the Los Angeles Clippers make the NBA Playoffs? Jun 14 $531 −$666 -125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 7PM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $54 −$50 -93%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 71% −$16,035
politics 21% +$8,682
other 8% +$5,100
crypto 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $8 16m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $20 16m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $12 16m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $39 16m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $7 16m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $12 16m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $16 16m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $81 16m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $20 16m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $79 16m
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 22¢ $0 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $20 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $16 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $20 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $2 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $4 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $4 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $3 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 21¢ $80 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 21¢ $46 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 21¢ $8 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 21¢ $40 17m
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 22¢ $0 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 21¢ $8 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $4 17m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $20 22m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $158 22m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $30 22m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $9 22m
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 22¢ $4 22m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-50.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 354 -63.1% -66.7% 18% 16% -37.7%
≤30d 504 -45.6% -50.7% 28% 25% -27.4%
≤90d 504 -45.6% -50.7% 28% 25% -27.4%
all 504 -45.6% -50.7% 28% 25% -27.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover206.7 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -50.7% 25% -27.4%
10% -55.5% 22% -34.3%
15% ← realistic here -59.8% 17% -40.7%
20% -63.7% 13% -46.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $48,966.53 · official $48,903.95 (match) · 3500 history records