trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-8%) |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 16¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -7% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $8 | −$1 | -13% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $2 | $0 | -17% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 14 | $8 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 10% | 0% | -21.3% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 10% | 0% | -21.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 10% | 0% | -21.3% |
| all | 10 | -16.2% | -24.2% | 10% | 0% | -21.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -24.2% | 0% | -21.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -31.5% | 0% | -28.9% |
| 15% | -38.1% | 0% | -35.7% |
| 20% | -44.2% | 0% | -42.0% |