trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 35 | +53.5% | +38.9% | 66% | 66% | +40.0% |
| ≤30d | 35 | +53.5% | +38.9% | 66% | 66% | +40.0% |
| ≤90d | 35 | +53.5% | +38.9% | 66% | 66% | +40.0% |
| all | 35 | +53.5% | +38.9% | 66% | 66% | +40.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +38.9% | 66% | +40.0% |
| 10% | +25.6% | 63% | +26.6% |
| 15% | +13.5% | 63% | +14.3% |
| 20% | +2.4% | 54% | +3.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $20 | $23 | +$3 (+15%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 17¢ | 14¢ | $20 | $16 | −$4 (-20%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 11¢ | $10 | $13 | +$3 (+25%) |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 59¢ | 62¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 10¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-24%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $8 | −$2 (-24%) |
| Will Croatia advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 18¢ | 18¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-3%) |
| Will England advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 5¢ | 5¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-13%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 27¢ | 22¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-20%) |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? | Yes | 23¢ | 6¢ | $10 | $2 | −$8 (-76%) |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Portugal | 44¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $5 | +$11 | +206% |
| Will Ecuador advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup | Jun 16 | $5 | +$3 | +65% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? | Jun 16 | $15 | +$27 | +178% |
| Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 16 | $5 | +$7 | +146% |
| Spread: Uruguay (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Cape Verde concede the most goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Grou | Jun 15 | $5 | −$3 | -68% |
| Spread: Spain (-4.5) | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$4 | +73% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 14 | $5 | +$8 | +167% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $5 | +$4 | +79% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$7 | -71% |
| Spread: Germany (-5.5) | Jun 14 | $5 | +$19 | +365% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $31 | +$14 | +46% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $5 | +$5 | +97% |
| Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals | Jun 14 | $2 | +$4 | +172% |
| Endrick: 1+ goals | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Raphinha: 1+ goals | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 13 | $10 | +$7 | +65% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$5 | +47% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$4 | +76% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$2 | +18% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$8 | +158% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$8 | +79% |
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score | Jun 12 | $5 | +$13 | +262% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $5 | +$6 | +125% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +42% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $5 | +$7 | +140% |
| Julián Quiñones: 1+ goals | Jun 11 | $5 | +$14 | +276% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$4 | -72% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |