Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:17:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc315…a989
sports · 111 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$259 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$253 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$253
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)18%
Wins / losses19 / 89
Est. fees paid−$33
Open positions3
Markets (closed)108 / 111
History coverage17d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day33.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 108 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$68
7 days−$145
14 days−$244
30 days−$253
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Marsborne 44¢ 75¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+70%)
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Festina Lente 43¢ 25¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-42%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: VENOM ESPOR vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs VENOM ESPOR 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage RUSTEC 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D GenOne 45¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group C RUSTEC 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: MIBR vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2 KRÜ Esports 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs FULLPOWER (BO3) - TESFED League Playoffs FULLPOWER 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Banger Gang vs ZOTIX (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs ZOTIX 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: RED Canids Academy vs paiN Academy (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs paiN Academy 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage AM Gaming 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs UNiTY esports 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage CYBERSHOKE Esports 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs NAVI Junior (BO3) - United21 Playoffs NAVI Junior 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Houston Astros 22¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: DXA Esports vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B Masked Regime 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stage SPARTA 3¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs STATE 45¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs G2 Esports 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lazer Cats (BO3) - European Pro League Series 7 Group D Lazer Cats 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Stage Oxuji Esports 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group B DXA Esports 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs Clutchain (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Clutchain 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 13 $5 −$2 -38%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $6 −$4 -61%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $7 −$4 -50%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $7 −$3 -50%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $7 −$3 -47%
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $7 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $4 +$5 +114%
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Gatorian (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $7 +$1 +9%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Counter-Strike: Festina Lente vs Detonate (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 13 $7 −$3 -44%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $3 −$1 -33%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $7 −$3 -46%
Counter-Strike: METANOIA WOLVES vs Alzon (BO1) - Gamers Club Liga Séri Jun 12 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $7 −$4 -54%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $4 −$2 -53%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $4 −$2 -43%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 −$1 -21%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $4 +$2 +62%
Counter-Strike: Wanted Goons vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $20 +$9 +46%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Seri Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: DXA Esports vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Ding Cuts (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Jun 10 $28 −$2 -7%
Counter-Strike: B8 Academy vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eur Jun 10 $2 −$2 -75%
Counter-Strike: Wingman vs eternal premium (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europ Jun 10 $1 +$2 +109%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $27 −$2 -7%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $59 −$1 -2%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $3 −$3 -99%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC (BO3) - European Pro L Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: WRAITH PCIFIC vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - United21 Playof Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $45 −$45 -99%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 10 $10 $0 -2%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs L.820 (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Stage Jun 09 $58 −$7 -12%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs RUSTEC (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 09 $8 −$3 -37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$259
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Festina Lente 43¢ $3 35m
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY Marsborne 44¢ $4 45m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 99¢ $7 1h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff SELL Detonate 100¢ $7 2h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs SELL XLG Gaming 100¢ $7 3h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs SELL Washed 100¢ $8 3h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Wanted Goons 29¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St SELL KOLESIE 100¢ $8 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 100¢ $8 3h
Counter-Strike: VENOM ESPOR vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED League Pla BUY VENOM ESPOR 40¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 33¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoff BUY Detonate 47¢ $3 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 55¢ $4 3h
Counter-Strike: aimclub vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY aimclub 48¢ $4 4h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY MASONIC 45¢ $4 5h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY XLG Gaming 34¢ $2 5h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 44¢ $4 5h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 55¢ $4 5h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 43¢ $3 5h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 51¢ $4 5h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 46¢ $4 5h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 41¢ $3 6h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Team Heretics Academy 42¢ $3 8h
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 45¢ $4 9h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY HEROIC Academy 42¢ $3 12h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 49¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 BUY RUSTEC 49¢ $2 12h
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 33¢ $3 13h
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Gatorian (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Gatorian 46¢ $4 14h
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Gatorian (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Entropy 45¢ $2 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-52.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 83 -41.9% -47.4% 19% 16% -30.6%
≤30d 108 -47.9% -52.9% 18% 15% -39.6%
≤90d 108 -47.9% -52.9% 18% 15% -39.6%
all 108 -47.9% -52.9% 18% 15% -39.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -52.9% 15% -39.6%
10% ← realistic here -57.4% 13% -45.4%
15% -61.5% 10% -50.7%
20% -65.3% 8% -55.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.01 · official $8.01 (match) · 571 history records