Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:25:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc330…19fe
crypto · 214 markets active 2h ago
4.0score
+$123 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$122 · open +$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$581
Realized+$122
Unrealized+$1
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses211 / 2
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)213 / 214
History coverage531d
Avg bet$282
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown1%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$7
14 days+$15
30 days+$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? No 100¢ 100¢ $580 $581 +$1 (+0%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $578 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $578 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $577 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $574 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? Jun 07 $574 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? Jun 06 $572 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $572 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3? Jun 04 $570 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $569 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $568 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30? May 31 $567 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28? May 30 $565 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26? May 27 $563 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24? May 25 $558 +$5 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22? May 23 $558 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20? May 21 $556 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18? May 19 $556 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16? May 17 $555 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13? May 15 $554 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11? May 12 $554 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10? May 11 $553 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8? May 09 $553 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6? May 07 $552 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5? May 06 $552 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4? May 05 $551 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 3? May 04 $550 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? May 02 $550 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 29? Apr 30 $550 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 27? Apr 28 $548 +$3 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 24? Apr 26 $547 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 23? Apr 24 $546 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 22? Apr 22 $545 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 21? Apr 21 $543 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 20? Apr 20 $543 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 18? Apr 19 $542 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 17? Apr 17 $543 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 16? Apr 16 $542 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 15? Apr 15 $541 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 13? Apr 14 $541 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on April 12? Apr 12 $540 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 11? Apr 11 $540 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 10? Apr 10 $539 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 9? Apr 09 $539 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 8? Apr 08 $538 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on April 7? Apr 07 $538 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 6? Apr 06 $537 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 5? Apr 05 $536 +$1 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on April 3? Apr 04 $536 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 2? Apr 02 $535 +$1 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$117
tech 1% +$1
economics 0% +$3
politics 0% +$3
sports 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T? BUY No 100¢ $580 1h
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 23h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $578 2d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 10? BUY No 100¢ $578 3d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 9? BUY No 100¢ $577 4d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? BUY No 99¢ $574 5d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 7? BUY No 100¢ $574 6d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 6? BUY No 100¢ $572 7d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 5? BUY No 100¢ $572 8d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on June 3? BUY No 100¢ $570 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 2? BUY No 100¢ $569 10d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? BUY No 100¢ $568 12d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30? BUY No 100¢ $567 13d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 28? BUY No 100¢ $565 16d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 26? BUY No 100¢ $563 18d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 24? BUY No 99¢ $558 20d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 22? BUY No 100¢ $558 22d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 20? BUY No 100¢ $556 24d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 18? BUY No 100¢ $556 26d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on May 16? BUY No 100¢ $555 28d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 13? BUY No 100¢ $554 31d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 11? BUY No 100¢ $554 32d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10? BUY No 100¢ $553 34d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 8? BUY No 100¢ $553 36d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 6? BUY No 100¢ $552 37d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 5? BUY No 100¢ $552 38d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 4? BUY No 100¢ $551 39d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 3? BUY No 100¢ $550 41d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 1? BUY No 100¢ $550 43d
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on April 29? BUY No 100¢ $550 45d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -14.1% -22.3% 86% 0% -9.3%
≤30d 20 -4.8% -13.8% 95% 0% -9.3%
≤90d 66 -1.4% -10.7% 98% 0% -9.4%
all 213 -0.6% -10.1% 99% 0% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.1% 0% -9.3%
10% -18.7% 0% -18.0%
15% -26.5% 0% -25.9%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $580.88 · official $580.88 (match) · 439 history records