trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| President Trump to Attend USA Opening Match? | Jun 13 | $80 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 50 Cent attend Game 4 of the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will SpaceX IPO on June 25, 2026? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Trump announce Pete Hoekstra as the next Director of National Int | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -28% |
| Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1490+? | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1500+? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$2 | -49% |
| Will next Claude Mythos debut on the Text Arena Leaderboard at 1480+? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -65% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +133.3% | +111.1% | 11% | 11% | -99.5% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +133.3% | +111.1% | 11% | 11% | -99.5% |
| ≤90d | 9 | +133.3% | +111.1% | 11% | 11% | -99.5% |
| all | 9 | +133.3% | +111.1% | 11% | 11% | -99.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +111.1% | 11% | -99.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +90.9% | 11% | -99.5% |
| 15% | +72.5% | 11% | -99.6% |
| 20% | +55.6% | 11% | -99.6% |