Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:12:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc350…4ba6
other · 31 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$1 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY ⚠ Small sample
Net worth$41
Realized+$2
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses8 / 6
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions17
Markets (closed)14 / 31
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day5.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit48%
Chart Positions 17 History 14 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$2
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 Over 50¢ 66¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+31%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 33¢ 30¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-8%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Scotland 39¢ 40¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score Yes 49¢ 50¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 Over 53¢ 52¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 37¢ 30¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-18%)
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 72¢ 61¢ $3 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 21¢ 24¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+14%)
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 58¢ 62¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+8%)
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 70¢ 70¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 15¢ 15¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 66¢ 66¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $2 $2 −$0 (-4%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 57¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-20%)
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Brazil 32¢ 17¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-47%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 22¢ 11¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-50%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 24¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Over 49¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 36¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Yes 38¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Over 35¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Yes 18¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 54¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $2 +$4 +180%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $3 −$2 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +109%
Will Christian Pulisic score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $2 +$3 +172%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $3 +$2 +97%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +85%
Games Total: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $4 −$4 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2 +$3 +152%
Will Knicks lead the 2026 NBA Finals 3-0 through 3 games? Jun 09 $2 +$3 +114%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 07 $2 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 54% −$1
other 46% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $3 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 33¢ $4 9h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 BUY Over 53¢ $3 9h
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $3 9h
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Scotland 39¢ $3 9h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 22¢ $3 9h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 1.5 BUY Over 50¢ $3 9h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Brazil 32¢ $3 9h
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 9h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Qatar 2nd Half O/U 0.5 BUY Over 35¢ $2 9h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 BUY Over 49¢ $3 9h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 36¢ $3 12h
Will Christian Pulisic score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 68¢ $5 22h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 33h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $3 33h
Will Christian Pulisic score 3+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 24¢ $2 33h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 63¢ $5 43h
Games Total: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 35¢ $3 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $3 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $3 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 38¢ $4 2d
Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 66¢ $2 2d
Will Belgium win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 70¢ $2 2d
Will Sweden win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 2d
Will Ecuador win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 21¢ $2 2d
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 37¢ $3 2d
Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 72¢ $3 2d
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 57¢ $2 2d
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 2d
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)+10.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +22.5% +10.8% 57% 50% -3.1%
≤30d 14 +22.5% +10.8% 57% 50% -3.1%
≤90d 14 +22.5% +10.8% 57% 50% -3.1%
all 14 +22.5% +10.8% 57% 50% -3.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +10.8% 50% -3.1%
10% +0.2% 50% -12.4%
15% -9.4% 50% -20.8%
20% -18.3% 50% -28.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41.28 · official $41.22 (match) · 39 history records