Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:35:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc35b…8ddd
crypto · 125 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,214 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,189 · open −$25
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,189
Unrealized−$25
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses71 / 53
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$80
Open positions1
Markets (closed)124 / 125
History coverage10d
Avg bet$181
Trades / day57.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$560
7 days−$640
14 days−$2,189
30 days−$2,189
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 39¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming Youth Team vs Saigon Warriors - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming Youth Team 64¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 11¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 13¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Bilibili Gaming Junior $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 18¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 57¢ $154 $0 −$154 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 53¢ $157 $0 −$157 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 14¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 52¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 38¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 26¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Up 17¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 44¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Yes $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 25¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 30¢ $220 $0 −$220 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 35¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner LGD Gaming 23¢ $306 $0 −$306 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 12¢ $136 $0 −$136 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 11¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 34¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $39 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$7 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $139 −$136 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $74 −$55 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $159 −$154 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $81 +$21 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $326 −$32 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $212 +$14 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $221 +$12 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $182 +$23 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$50 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $581 −$581 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$53 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $543 +$42 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $212 +$61 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $522 +$29 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $200 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $381 +$15 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $81 +$24 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $502 +$26 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $500 +$6 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $77 +$17 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $467 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $434 +$37 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $297 +$88 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $272 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $235 −$11 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $232 +$6 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $283 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $398 +$3 +1%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$5 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$3 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $271 +$17 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $272 +$36 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $241 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$30 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $242 +$6 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $250 +$4 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $265 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $82 +$44 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $291 −$2 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$1,050
sports 30% −$1,172
other 2% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $10 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down $11 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $102 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $2 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $2 27m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster 39¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET SELL Down $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 94 +2.6% -7.2% 63% 31% -13.4%
≤30d 124 -3.9% -13.0% 57% 30% -18.4%
≤90d 124 -3.9% -13.0% 57% 30% -18.4%
all 124 -3.9% -13.0% 57% 30% -18.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 30% -18.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 22% -26.2%
15% -28.9% 13% -33.3%
20% -35.9% 10% -39.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.03 · official $0.03 (match) · 630 history records