Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:59:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc362…0f5e
crypto · 199 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,105 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,107 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$1,107
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses61 / 134
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Est. fees paid−$12
Open positions4
Markets (closed)195 / 199
History coverage74d
Avg bet$74
Trades / day34.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 4 History 195 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$125
7 days+$81
14 days−$88
30 days−$94
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 50¢ 76¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+53%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Up 51¢ 70¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+37%)
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes 55¢ 51¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-64%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 1, 8PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 11, 9PM ET? No 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 11, 9PM ET? No 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 11, 9PM ET? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$50 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $16 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$83 +141%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$16 -66%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$5 -40%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +86%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $35 +$18 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$41 +359%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$16 -50%
Bitcoin above 63,800 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $6 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin above 64,000 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin above 63,200 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum above 1,650 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum above 1,680 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum above 1,700 on June 11, 9PM ET? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -44%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8PM ET Jun 11 $35 −$24 -69%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +67%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +61%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$1 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 11 $0 $0 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $8 +$21 +258%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$6 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 12AM ET Jun 02 $5 +$6 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 02 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 11PM ET Jun 02 $5 +$2 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 02 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11PM ET Jun 02 $8 +$4 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 02 $1,042 +$198 +19%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$661
sports 5% −$375
weather 2% −$56
other 0% −$13
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-34.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -22.6% -30.0% 36% 27% +7.0%
≤30d 107 -28.7% -35.5% 33% 29% -12.9%
≤90d 195 -27.1% -34.1% 31% 26% -16.4%
all 195 -27.1% -34.1% 31% 26% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover34.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -34.1% 26% -16.4%
10% ← realistic here -40.4% 23% -24.4%
15% -46.1% 21% -31.7%
20% -51.4% 18% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.48 · official $8.48 (match) · 2721 history records