Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:50:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc365…906c
crypto · 12 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$47 +37%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$42
Realized+$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)17%
Wins / losses1 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions6
Markets (closed)6 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown84%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 6 History 6 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$43
7 days+$43
14 days+$43
30 days+$43
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 46¢ 48¢ $15 $16 +$1 (+5%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? No 73¢ 72¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? No 71¢ 70¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-5%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 29¢ 28¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 9z 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Alex Bolt 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 14 $45 +$81 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 81% +$49
sports 15% −$6
other 4% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $1 6m
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 1h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 46¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $45 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $26 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 3h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY No 73¢ $10 3h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $2 3h
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 71¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 20¢ $5 4h
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Alex Bolt BUY Alex Bolt 0¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-57.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -53.1% -57.6% 17% 17% +37.4%
≤30d 6 -53.1% -57.6% 17% 17% +37.4%
≤90d 6 -53.1% -57.6% 17% 17% +37.4%
all 6 -53.1% -57.6% 17% 17% +37.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -57.6% 17% +37.4%
10% -61.7% 17% +24.3%
15% -65.4% 17% +12.3%
20% -68.8% 17% +1.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $42.17 · official $42.17 (match) · 14 history records