Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc367…a0b4
sports · 1345 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25,213 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25,021 · open −$192
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$148
Realized−$25,021
Unrealized−$192
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses546 / 797
Whale WR (big bets)48%
Est. fees paid−$1,486
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1343 / 1345
History coverage104d
Avg bet$169
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 2 History 1343 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$151
7 days−$1,370
14 days−$2,886
30 days−$6,350
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 61¢ 55¢ $110 $99 −$11 (-10%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 16¢ 4¢ $230 $49 −$181 (-79%)
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Leolia Jeanjean 27¢ 0¢ $70 $0 −$70 (-100%)
FC Bayern München leading at halftime? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $271 $0 −$271 (-100%)
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5 Under 54¢ 0¢ $163 $0 −$163 (-100%)
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs Ilia Simakin Ilia Simakin 71¢ 0¢ $306 $0 −$306 (-100%)
Will Kashima Antlers vs. FC Mito Holly Hock end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Yes 74¢ 0¢ $91 $0 −$91 (-100%)
SC Freiburg vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5 Over 30¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
AC Monza leading at halftime? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeju SK FC end in a draw? Yes 50¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Poland win on 2026-03-31? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 24¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Liaoning Flying Leopards Liaoning Flying Leopards 36¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5 Over 7¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Unicaja vs. Alba Berlin Alba Berlin 16¢ 0¢ $97 $0 −$97 (-100%)
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) Timberwolves 46¢ 0¢ $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $430 $0 −$430 (-100%)
Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Nürnberg end in a draw? No 62¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Timberwolves Timberwolves 30¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 2.5 Over 20¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5 Over 18¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-10? Yes 55¢ 0¢ $395 $0 −$395 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $22 +$4 +20%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $66 +$407 +618%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $51 +$46 +89%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $158 −$158 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $81 +$77 +95%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $81 −$80 -99%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $125 −$125 -100%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $81 +$44 +54%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $81 −$80 -99%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 10 $81 −$80 -98%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $81 −$79 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $100 −$98 -98%
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $82 −$82 -100%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $82 −$80 -98%
Libema Open: Greet Minnen vs Janice Tjen Jun 09 $477 −$469 -98%
Cattolica: Gianmarco Ferrari vs Sergio Callejon Jun 09 $102 −$100 -98%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 09 $322 +$256 +80%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 09 $168 +$155 +92%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 09 $82 +$86 +105%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $47 −$46 -97%
HSBC Championships: Karolina Pliskova vs McCartney Kessler Jun 08 $82 −$80 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Gauthier Onclin vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 08 $151 −$149 -99%
Libema Open: Marin Cilic vs Denis Shapovalov Jun 08 $82 +$69 +84%
PortlandFire vs. Los Angeles Sparks Jun 07 $129 −$126 -98%
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 10.5 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -98%
Ecuador vs. Guatemala: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $82 +$57 +70%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $82 −$80 -98%
Croatia vs. Slovenia: O/U 4.5 Jun 07 $66 −$64 -98%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 5.5 Jun 07 $103 −$78 -76%
Denmark vs. Ukraine: O/U 3.5 Jun 07 $121 −$76 -63%
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $101 +$47 +46%
Stuttgart Open, Qualification: Roman Safiullin vs Alexis Galarneau Jun 07 $101 +$77 +76%
Will Venezuela win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $101 −$99 -98%
England vs. New Zealand: O/U 5.5 Jun 06 $101 −$98 -98%
Portugal vs. Chile: O/U 2.5 Jun 06 $102 −$101 -99%
Will Cayman Islands win on 2026-06-06? Jun 06 $73 −$71 -98%
Perugia: Timofey Skatov vs Henrique Rocha Jun 06 $51 +$22 +44%
Libema Open, Qualification: Yue Yuan vs Robin Montgomery Jun 06 $194 −$191 -99%
Sagan Tosu vs. Shōnan Bellmāre: O/U 0.5 Jun 06 $100 +$94 +94%
Will Kashiwa Reysol vs. Kyōto Sanga FC end in a draw? Jun 06 $81 −$80 -98%
Birmingham: Coleman Wong vs Filippo Romano Jun 04 $164 −$143 -87%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 01 $6 −$5 -99%
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals May 31 $46 −$45 -98%
Will CD Castellón vs. SD Eibar end in a draw? May 31 $66 −$65 -98%
Will UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF end in a draw? May 31 $102 −$100 -98%
Real Racing Club vs. Cádiz CF: O/U 4.5 May 31 $102 −$100 -98%
Cabo Verde vs. Serbia: O/U 3.5 May 31 $224 +$244 +109%
BK Hacken vs. Hammarby IF: O/U 5.5 May 31 $57 +$15 +26%
Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5 May 31 $40 +$17 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$18,620
other 16% −$3,821
crypto 9% −$2,685
world 2% −$88
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 3¢ $5 6m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 2¢ $5 8m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 2¢ $10 8m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 57¢ $10 23m
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 62¢ $101 24m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 26¢ $10 1h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 46¢ $203 1h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Ajla Tomljanovic 99¢ $26 1h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 82¢ $22 1h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 99¢ $473 1h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 12¢ $50 2h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Marin Cilic 21¢ $16 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 37¢ $10 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 23¢ $10 2h
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 26¢ $10 2h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino SELL Adrian Mannarino 98¢ $97 2h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 51¢ $51 3h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 57¢ $158 14h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals SELL Texas Rangers 99¢ $158 15h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Texas Rangers 50¢ $81 17h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets BUY St. Louis Cardinals 52¢ $81 20h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech SELL Adrian Mannarino 86¢ $0 24h
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw BUY Pedro Martinez 62¢ $125 24h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech SELL Adrian Mannarino 91¢ $125 24h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech BUY Adrian Mannarino 58¢ $81 24h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 65¢ $81 37h
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 46¢ $81 39h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 35¢ $81 40h
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik BUY Jan-Lennard Struff 31¢ $100 45h
Liberia vs. Sierra Leone: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 76¢ $82 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 41 -26.7% -33.7% 34% 34% -37.6%
≤30d 253 -17.1% -25.0% 43% 43% -24.4%
≤90d 983 -12.5% -20.9% 40% 40% -19.5%
all 1343 -11.0% -19.4% 41% 39% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 39% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 37% -27.2%
15% -34.2% 34% -34.3%
20% -40.6% 29% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $147.78 · official $147.78 (match) · 3028 history records