Wallet analysis

2026-06-23T20:42:06+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C3 0xc36c…87b8 crypto 382 markets active 0h ago coverage 4d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (237 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$8 (-0%) realized −$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +18% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -9% what you keep after slip
Net edge-9%after slip
Net WR19%break-even
Win rate81%311W / 71L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$15per market
Trades / day237.1pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (237 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +19%
net ROI/market (all)+7.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 382 +18.3% +7.1% 81% 19% -10.0%
≤30d 382 +18.3% +7.1% 81% 19% -10.0%
≤90d 382 +18.3% +7.1% 81% 19% -10.0%
all 382 +18.3% +7.1% 81% 19% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover237.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +7.1% 19% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -3.2% 14% -18.6%
15% -12.5% 10% -26.5%
20% -21.1% 9% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
75% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +18% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +36% → late +1% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.79 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses311 / 71
Open positions0
Markets (closed)382 / 382
History coverage4d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day237.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 382 Trades
no open positions (60 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 23 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3PM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 23 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 23 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11AM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 23 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 23 $29 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 23 $29 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 23 $30 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $18 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $29 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.44 · official $0.00 (match) · 1024 history records