Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:06:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc390…28bd
other · 120 markets active 317d ago
0.0score
−$2,294 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,294 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$2,294
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses87 / 83
Whale WR (big bets)20%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)170 / 120
History coverage131d
Avg bet$115
Trades / day25.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit53%
Chart Positions 0 History 170 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$467
7 days−$467
14 days−$467
30 days−$467
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? No 43¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+133%)
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? Yes 4¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+2179%)
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025? No 43¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+131%)
Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will Belarus start mining Bitcoin before June? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers? No 41¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30? Yes 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025? No 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Thomas Krottinger win Survivor 48? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Trump Media invest in Solana before July? Yes 28¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Trump Family buys stake in Binance before July? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Trump overturns Biden pardon before July? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
One Direction reunion in 2025? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $199 $0 −$199 (-100%)
Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
CHIPS Act repealed before July? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Megaquake in 2025? No 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June? No 4¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer in the EPL? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the U.S. take over Gaza before July? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Will Jose Vinicius Junior win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $1,554 $0 −$1,554 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025? Jun 12 $1 +$7 +1037%
Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +2629%
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2025? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +1083%
Will Trump attend SpaceX Starship Flight Test 9? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Belarus start mining Bitcoin before June? Jun 12 $0 −$17 -32513%
Will Superman be the top grossing movie of 2025? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? Jun 12 $0 −$3 -3635%
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on June 30? Jun 12 $0 −$5 -1617%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2025? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the U.S. acquire Canadian territory in 2025? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Thomas Krottinger win Survivor 48? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Trump Media invest in Solana before July? Jun 12 $27 −$34 -125%
Trump Family buys stake in Binance before July? Jun 12 $0 +$1 +658%
Trump overturns Biden pardon before July? Jun 12 $0 −$5 -1468%
One Direction reunion in 2025? Jun 12 $199 −$199 -100%
Will Apple create a backdoor for user data in iCloud? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
CHIPS Act repealed before July? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Megaquake in 2025? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Putin remain President of Russia through June? Jun 12 $0 $0 +349%
Will Heung-Min Son be the top goalscorer in the EPL? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Diogo Jota be the top goalscorer in the EPL? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -64%
Will the U.S. take over Gaza before July? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1200%
Will Jose Vinicius Junior win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jun 12 $1 −$3 -512%
Will 'Jurassic World: Rebirth' have the best domestic opening weekend Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Japan prime minister Ishiba out before July? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Trump jail Hillary Clinton? Jun 12 $0 $0 +2824%
Maduro out in 2025? Jun 12 $0 $0 -30%
Will Elon and DOGE cut between $150-200b in federal spending in 2025? Jun 12 $0 −$25 -41984%
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1068%
The 'Bill' Epstein Parlay Jun 12 $1 +$22 +1789%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2025 World Series? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
CNN/MSNBC sued for libel against Trump? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
US government shutdown in 2025? Jun 12 $50 −$50 -99%
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decem Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1115%
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? Jun 12 $0 +$10 +13683%
Will Aaron Rodgers retire? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -494%
Trump cuts taxes in 2025? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bernie Sanders be named in Epstein files? Jun 12 $0 +$2 +3377%
Will GPT-5 be released by December 31? Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
Will Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair? Jun 12 $0 −$3 -25666%
Karen Bass out as Mayor of LA in 2025? Jun 12 $0 −$4 -979%
Will Wisconsin switch state laws to gender neutral language by May? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will an Erewhon open in NYC in 2025? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will US leave NATO by June 30? Jun 12 $0 −$183 -95990%
Sam Altman arrested before July? Jun 12 $25 −$23 -93%
Opensea token market cap (FDV) $10-15b one day after launch? Jun 12 $0 +$10 +24293%
Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 Jun 12 $0 $0 -7%
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League? Jun 12 $1 +$80 +14963%
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer in the EPL? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will RFK end Hepatitis B vaccine recommendation in 2025? Jun 12 $0 −$3 -2229%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
world 40% −$2,016
other 28% −$461
politics 21% +$215
crypto 7% +$252
weather 2% −$16
culture 1% +$185
sports 1% +$13
tech 0% +$2
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
One Direction reunion in 2025? SELL Yes 49¢ $1 316d
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 betwee SELL Yes 96¢ $296 344d
Will the number of federal employees decrease by 50,000-100,000 betwee SELL Yes 96¢ $15 344d
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers? SELL No 59¢ $1 377d
Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the Pittsburgh Steelers? SELL No 59¢ $2 377d
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League? SELL No 68¢ $47 379d
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League? SELL No 64¢ $15 379d
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League? SELL No 64¢ $38 379d
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League? SELL No 64¢ $5 379d
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League? SELL No 64¢ $37 379d
Will Chelsea win the 2025 UEFA Conference League? SELL No 62¢ $46 379d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 391d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? SELL Yes 7¢ $32 392d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? BUY Yes 6¢ $180 392d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? BUY Yes 6¢ $180 392d
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2025? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 392d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before June? BUY Yes 14¢ $350 393d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? SELL Yes 37¢ $32 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? SELL Yes 37¢ $153 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 34¢ $6 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 34¢ $10 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 34¢ $17 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 34¢ $4 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 34¢ $17 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 34¢ $10 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 34¢ $34 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 394d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July? BUY Yes 34¢ $1 394d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)+114.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 46 +216.3% +186.1% 24% 24% -75.4%
≤30d 46 +216.3% +186.1% 24% 24% -75.4%
≤90d 46 +216.3% +186.1% 24% 24% -75.4%
all 170 +137.4% +114.8% 51% 38% -26.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +114.8% 38% -26.1%
10% ← realistic here +94.2% 32% -33.2%
15% +75.5% 29% -39.6%
20% +58.3% 25% -45.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.16 · official $2.97 (match) · 3500 history records