Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:39:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc393…b18f
crypto · 563 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9,002 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$9,002 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized+$9,002
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses552 / 10
Whale WR (big bets)98%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)562 / 563
History coverage43d
Avg bet$1,396
Trades / day68.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 562 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,616
7 days+$2,387
14 days+$7,434
30 days+$7,434
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 95¢ $52 $0 −$52 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 83¢ $423 $0 −$423 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 95¢ $12,036 $0 −$12,036 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 95¢ $4,635 $0 −$4,635 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 98¢ $262 $0 −$262 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 11¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 88¢ $595 $0 −$595 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 92¢ $1,108 $0 −$1,108 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 61¢ $61 $0 −$61 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 94¢ $1,506 $0 −$1,506 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1,089 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1,089 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$10 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1,040 +$45 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $1,075 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $1,045 +$57 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $1,005 +$43 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $2,756 +$79 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $2,178 +$22 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2,520 +$248 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2,179 +$21 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $2,442 +$51 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2,178 +$22 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1,301 +$50 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $1,354 +$1,166 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1,144 +$39 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1,090 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $398 +$8 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1,090 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1,060 +$40 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1,080 +$20 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1,090 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1,089 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,090 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $1,089 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1,043 +$132 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1,089 +$11 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $490 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $968 +$52 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $897 +$74 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $796 +$93 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $599 +$218 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $495 +$5 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$9,002
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,090 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,089 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $492 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $595 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $34 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1,040 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,075 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1,045 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1,005 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $2,756 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,089 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,090 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1,611 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $909 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,090 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,089 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2,442 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,089 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,089 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1,301 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1,354 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1,084 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $60 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1,090 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $398 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $59 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1,090 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1,060 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1,080 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +14%
net ROI/market (all)+0.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 350 +4.3% -5.7% 98% 13% -8.8%
≤30d 440 +4.1% -5.8% 98% 12% -8.3%
≤90d 562 +10.8% +0.2% 98% 14% -8.5%
all 562 +10.8% +0.2% 98% 14% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +0.2% 14% -8.5%
10% -9.3% 9% -17.2%
15% ← realistic here -18.1% 7% -25.2%
20% -26.1% 6% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records