Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:27:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc397…bb3b
sports · 1027 markets active 0h ago
5.0score
+$12,476 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$12,638 · open −$243
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$798
Realized+$12,638
Unrealized−$243
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses661 / 362
Whale WR (big bets)62%
Est. fees paid−$4,274
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1023 / 1027
History coverage62d
Avg bet$294
Trades / day44.7
Drawdown43%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 1023 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,619
7 days+$4,373
14 days+$4,618
30 days+$5,879
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Team Liquid 61¢ 77¢ $441 $559 +$118 (+27%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 2 Winner LOS 84¢ 100¢ $200 $238 +$38 (+19%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 42¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Qualifier Playoffs Vivo Keyd Stars 78¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $408 +$338 +83%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $404 −$176 -44%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $510 −$233 -46%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $201 +$58 +29%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $304 +$37 +12%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $201 +$32 +16%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $201 +$38 +19%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $201 +$29 +14%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 13 $402 +$80 +20%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $268 +$76 +28%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $203 +$187 +92%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $201 −$201 -100%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $202 +$106 +52%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $201 +$52 +26%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $202 +$120 +60%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $201 +$65 +32%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $202 +$90 +45%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $203 +$255 +125%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $202 −$169 -84%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $813 +$252 +31%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $907 +$29 +3%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $201 −$123 -61%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $608 +$141 +23%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $202 −$202 -100%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $201 +$24 +12%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Game Handicap: KCB (-1.5) vs Forsaken (+1.5) Jun 12 $203 +$215 +106%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 12 $207 +$36 +18%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $202 +$93 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $200 +$6 +3%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$62 +31%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $200 +$8 +4%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $202 +$88 +44%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $201 +$65 +32%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $309 −$46 -15%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 −$201 -100%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $203 +$19 +10%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$27 +13%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $201 +$42 +21%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $202 +$80 +40%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$58 +29%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$46 +23%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $204 +$318 +156%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $201 +$29 +14%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $202 +$106 +52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $406 −$62 -15%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $203 −$72 -36%
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $202 +$131 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$12,574
other 0% −$178
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 71¢ $535 11m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 61¢ $506 13m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 62¢ $202 17m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 59¢ $202 18m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 32¢ $159 32m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 39¢ $204 34m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Cloud9 4¢ $28 58m
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 28¢ $204 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner SELL Cloud9 35¢ $249 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 42¢ $102 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner BUY Cloud9 41¢ $204 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 41¢ $119 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 79¢ $222 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 42¢ $102 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 59¢ $202 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 32¢ $69 1h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner BUY Cloud9 42¢ $203 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 91¢ $201 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 38¢ $0 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 40¢ $93 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 81¢ $49 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 79¢ $102 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 70¢ $94 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P SELL Eintracht Spandau 64¢ $335 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 28¢ $204 3h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P BUY Eintracht Spandau 44¢ $203 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 77¢ $201 3h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL LOS 21¢ $41 3h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 78¢ $201 3h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL LOS 37¢ $10 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-3.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 +11.4% +0.8% 73% 62% +1.0%
≤30d 554 +3.6% -6.2% 64% 55% -6.4%
≤90d 1023 +7.0% -3.2% 65% 55% -5.7%
all 1023 +7.0% -3.2% 65% 55% -5.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.2% 55% -5.7%
10% ← realistic here -12.5% 43% -14.7%
15% -20.9% 31% -23.0%
20% -28.7% 19% -30.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $797.91 · official $797.91 (match) · 3500 history records