Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc39f…eea8
crypto · 272 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$583 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$570 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$307
Realized−$570
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses134 / 152
Open positions1
Markets (closed)286 / 272
Avg bet$166
Trades / day3030.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 286 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$570
7 days−$570
14 days−$570
30 days−$570
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $94 $104 +$9 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $51 $67 +$16 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Up 56¢ 100¢ $30 $54 +$24 (+78%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Up 61¢ 98¢ $33 $53 +$20 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $11 $24 +$13 (+119%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 28¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+253%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 64¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+125%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 31¢ 2¢ $2 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$30 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$27 -1652%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$20 -1355%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $54 +$21 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $32 −$68 -212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$27 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $219 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $225 −$41 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $106 −$6 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $218 −$4 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $164 −$28 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$52 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $219 +$7 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $209 −$14 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $107 +$29 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $150 +$21 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $80 +$21 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $87 −$2 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $168 +$31 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $132 −$25 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $118 −$3 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $202 +$16 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$30 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $169 +$26 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 12 $346 +$14 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $275 −$9 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $114 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $83 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $163 −$18 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $313 −$67 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $132 +$8 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $174 −$15 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$17 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$22 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $141 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $296 −$42 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $199 −$19 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $362 −$31 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$204
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $20 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $32 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $23 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $11 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $23 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $44 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $21 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $16 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 52¢ $31 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $34 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $15 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 38¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $12 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $16 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 40¢ $13 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $39 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $17 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $28 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 75¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $9 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $15 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $12 15m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-12.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 286 -2.8% -12.1% 47% 27% -10.5%
≤30d 286 -2.8% -12.1% 47% 27% -10.5%
≤90d 286 -2.8% -12.1% 47% 27% -10.5%
all 286 -2.8% -12.1% 47% 27% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3030.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.1% 27% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -20.5% 13% -19.1%
15% -28.2% 9% -26.9%
20% -35.2% 5% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $307.24 · official $301.72 · 3500 history records