Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:36:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C3
0xc3a5…534c
crypto · 684 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$4,606 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,457 · open +$102
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$302
Realized−$5,457
Unrealized+$102
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses288 / 393
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Est. fees paid−$669
Open positions3
Markets (closed)681 / 684
History coverage45d
Avg bet$75
Trades / day36.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 681 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$195
7 days−$813
14 days−$1,445
30 days−$4,639
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 24¢ 62¢ $55 $141 +$86 (+157%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 62¢ 64¢ $85 $89 +$4 (+4%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 69¢ 82¢ $60 $72 +$12 (+20%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 72¢ 0¢ $660 $0 −$660 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs B8 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 B8 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 11¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner HANJIN BRION 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: GMBLERS ESPORTS vs Zena Esports (BO5) - LIT Playoffs Zena Esports 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffs KRÜ Esports 22¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner JD Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 2 Winner Cloud9 56¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 56¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Legacy - Map 4 Winner Team Falcons 21¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Dplus KIA 58¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $31 +$49 +160%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $30 +$20 +66%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $26 +$57 +223%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $45 +$13 +28%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $99 +$101 +102%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $14 +$10 +76%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$10 +203%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs Jun 13 $28 +$5 +18%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $16 −$5 -33%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $13 −$9 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +13%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs XLG Gaming - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$8 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $46 −$40 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $15 +$23 +149%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 +$14 +137%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$12 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $7 −$5 -66%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $46 −$37 -79%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $30 +$36 +117%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $15 −$8 -50%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$32 +314%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $12 −$10 -85%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$12 +118%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $30 +$2 +5%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $15 +$15 +99%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $14 −$14 -99%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $11 +$18 +165%
Son Heungmin: 2+ Goals Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $38 −$16 -42%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $56 −$36 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$4 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +55%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $53 +$28 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 08 $5 −$3 -61%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy (BO3) - Asia Masters Group B Jun 08 $10 −$10 -97%
LoL: LOS vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $38 −$37 -98%
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Frites Esports Club (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stag Jun 08 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 08 $21 −$19 -92%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs NEW VISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $66 +$19 +28%
Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Eu Jun 08 $15 −$15 -98%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $293 −$152 -52%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $46 −$30 -65%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $51 +$31 +60%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% −$3,215
crypto 22% −$1,845
other 1% −$212
politics 0% −$83
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $10 13m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 63¢ $51 22m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $79 23m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $5 27m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 60¢ $35 43m
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $50 44m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $25 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 67¢ $50 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 59¢ $30 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $82 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 19¢ $20 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 30¢ $26 2h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 39¢ $20 3h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 29¢ $36 3h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner SELL Team Liquid 99¢ $58 10h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 99¢ $71 10h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 30¢ $5 11h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 57¢ $15 11h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 70¢ $20 11h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 40¢ $24 11h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 25¢ $15 11h
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 3 Winner BUY Team Liquid 77¢ $45 11h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 51¢ $72 11h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 21¢ $31 12h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 42¢ $21 12h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL 9z 52¢ $34 12h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 20¢ $6 13h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL 9z 99¢ $15 13h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 20¢ $5 13h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 19¢ $7 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-22.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -15.6% -23.6% 41% 37% -13.8%
≤30d 430 -14.4% -22.6% 44% 39% -16.8%
≤90d 681 -14.7% -22.8% 42% 38% -16.5%
all 681 -14.7% -22.8% 42% 38% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover36.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.8% 38% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -30.2% 33% -24.5%
15% -36.9% 29% -31.8%
20% -43.1% 23% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $302.05 · official $302.05 (match) · 1862 history records