trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -38.4% | -44.3% | 50% | 0% | -45.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -64.7% | -68.1% | 25% | 0% | -57.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -64.6% | -68.0% | 29% | 0% | -36.2% |
| all | 12 | -23.1% | -30.5% | 42% | 25% | -24.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.5% | 25% | -24.5% |
| 10% | -37.1% | 25% | -31.7% |
| 15% | -43.2% | 25% | -38.3% |
| 20% | -48.8% | 17% | -44.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 20¢ | $1,547 | $1,874 | +$327 (+21%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Austria? | Jun 22 | $511 | −$421 | -82% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $493 | +$27 | +6% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $221 | −$216 | -98% |
| Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? | Jun 14 | $125 | −$102 | -82% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 29 | $51 | −$49 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 20 | $106 | −$99 | -94% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Mar 30 | $991 | +$64 | +6% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 18, 2026? | Jan 19 | $147 | −$135 | -92% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 4PM ET | Jan 17 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 16, 2026? | Jan 16 | $149 | +$98 | +66% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 10, 12PM ET | Jan 10 | $11 | +$28 | +257% |
| Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 10, 2026? | Jan 10 | $496 | +$216 | +44% |