trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +0.8% | -8.8% | 33% | 0% | -8.6% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -3.6% | -12.8% | 29% | 0% | -13.3% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 33% | 0% | -12.1% |
| all | 26 | -3.1% | -12.4% | 62% | 8% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.4% | 8% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -20.7% | 8% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 8% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -35.4% | 8% | -34.8% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | Jun 24 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $34 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | Jun 02 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 27 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | May 26 | $40 | −$6 | -14% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 26 | $32 | −$4 | -14% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | May 25 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | May 25 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Crystal Palace win on 2025-11-30? | Dec 12 | $6 | +$4 | +64% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the first leader out in 2025? | Oct 22 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Jul 03 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Pam Bondi leave the Trump administration in 2025? | Jul 03 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Jul 03 | $7 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jul 01 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 27 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? | Jun 21 | $5 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Jun 20 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting? | Jun 19 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 08 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential elec | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Aaron Rodgers sign with the New York Giants? | Jun 08 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Mar 27 | $6 | $0 | +2% |
| Alabama vs. Missouri | Mar 03 | $4 | +$2 | +59% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on February | Mar 03 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |