Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T16:38:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
C3 0xc3f6…30fd crypto 420 markets active 2h ago coverage 123d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$147 (-1%) realized −$147 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate85%356W / 64L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$58per market
Trades / day5.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$12
7 days+$2
14 days−$75
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$152
sports 0% −$3
world 0% −$1
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +0.2% -9.3% 93% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 133 +0.1% -9.4% 92% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 194 -0.3% -9.8% 92% 0% -9.9%
all 420 -0.5% -9.9% 85% 5% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover5.2 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 5% -10.1%
10% -18.6% 4% -18.7%
15% -26.4% 4% -26.6%
20% -33.6% 4% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 3% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
94% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$8 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.71 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

123d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$147
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses356 / 64
Open positions0
Markets (closed)420 / 420
History coverage123d
Avg bet$58
Trades / day5.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 420 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 19 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 19 $50 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 19 $50 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 18 $49 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $49 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $48 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 18 $48 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $36 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $47 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 18 $35 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $23 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $46 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 18 $46 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 18 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 18 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 17 $49 −$7 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $49 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $24 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 17 $48 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $41 −$7 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 16 $26 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 16 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 16 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 16 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $51 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 07 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 07 $49 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 07 $99 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 07 $61 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 07 $73 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 07 $49 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 07 $97 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 07 $47 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 07 $94 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 07 $94 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 07 $94 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 07 $93 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 07 $23 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 07 $45 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 07 $92 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 07 $46 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 07 $91 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 07 $98 −$13 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 07 $48 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 07 $97 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 07 $96 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 07 $96 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 07 $96 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $50 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $50 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $7 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $31 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $12 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $49 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $48 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $48 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $36 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $47 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $35 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $46 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $46 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $20 35h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $42 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $49 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $49 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $24 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $18 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET SELL Down 85¢ $17 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1058 history records