trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -6.2% | -15.2% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 55% | 9% | -8.1% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 55% | 9% | -8.1% |
| all | 25 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 64% | 4% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 4% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 4% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 4% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -33.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $45 | $0 | +0% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 23 | $2 | $0 | -12% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | Jun 15 | $40 | +$1 | +2% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $50 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 14 | $28 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $10 | −$1 | -10% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 13 | $40 | +$2 | +4% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 13 | $19 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 12 | $7 | +$2 | +38% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 11 | $36 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 10 | $37 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Trump sell 10k-25k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jun 26 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 18 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 18 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 29 | $5 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Conservative Party win by 0–24 seats? | Apr 28 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Matteo Zuppi be the next pope? | Apr 27 | $4 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Bloc Québécois win the most seats in Quebec in the next Canad | Apr 26 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the Canadian election by 3-6%? | Apr 25 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 6-9%? | Apr 24 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the most seats in the next Canadian electio | Apr 24 | $4 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded? | Apr 20 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon tweet less than 400 times March 14-21? | Mar 21 | $6 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 47-48°F on March 4? | Mar 03 | $13 | −$8 | -57% |