Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:54:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc439…badb
crypto · 1565 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses365 / 1226
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1591 / 1565
History coverage2d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day161.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1591 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 4h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET SELL Up 3¢ $0 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET SELL Up 0¢ $0 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 5h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1591 -1.6% -11.0% 23% 0% -10.2%
≤30d 1591 -1.6% -11.0% 23% 0% -10.2%
≤90d 1591 -1.6% -11.0% 23% 0% -10.2%
all 1591 -1.6% -11.0% 23% 0% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover161.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 0% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 0% -18.8%
15% -27.3% 0% -26.6%
20% -34.4% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records