trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 24¢ | $1 | $2 | +$0 (+7%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | Up | 50¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Down | 32¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | Up | 33¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | Down | 7¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | Up | 25¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | Up | 26¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Up | 23¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | Up | 82¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | Up | 30¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | Up | 17¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $4 | −$2 | -63% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$4 | +108% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $5 | −$4 | -77% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Neither team to score first? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -24% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $2 | +$3 | +158% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $3 | +$1 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | May 30 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titans | May 30 | $1 | +$1 | +83% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -95% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET | May 25 | $2 | +$1 | +55% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET | May 25 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET | May 25 | $1 | +$3 | +261% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | May 25 | $1 | +$3 | +326% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | May 25 | $1 | +$1 | +55% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | May 25 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +20.9% | +9.4% | 57% | 43% | -1.9% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 43% | 39% | -10.1% |
| ≤90d | 23 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 43% | 39% | -10.1% |
| all | 23 | -1.3% | -10.7% | 43% | 39% | -10.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.7% | 39% | -10.1% |
| 10% | -19.2% | 39% | -18.7% |
| 15% | -27.0% | 39% | -26.6% |
| 20% | -34.2% | 30% | -33.8% |