trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 25% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 27% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 27% | 0% | -11.0% |
| all | 25 | -3.8% | -13.0% | 48% | 4% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.0% | 4% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -21.3% | 4% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -28.9% | 4% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -35.9% | 4% | -34.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 21 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 21 | $63 | −$1 | -1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 21 | $9 | $0 | -4% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 20 | $31 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $30 | +$1 | +5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $29 | $0 | +1% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 02 | $29 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 02 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | May 31 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 30 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 30 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 29 | $15 | −$8 | -53% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | May 29 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 27 | $12 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum reach $4000 in May? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 28 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 18 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Dillon Danis win the match? | Mar 30 | $2 | +$1 | +56% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 25 | $13 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | Mar 19 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Trump sign Bitcoin reserve executive order Friday? | Mar 11 | $17 | $0 | +2% |