Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc445…6251
crypto · 478 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$57 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$57 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$57
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses368 / 110
Open positions0
Markets (closed)478 / 478
Avg bet$6
Trades / day134.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 478 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$24
7 days−$51
14 days−$57
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $41 +$2 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$6 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$4 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$4 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$5 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$6 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $14 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $12 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $10 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $36 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $31 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $7 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $10 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $35 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $30 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $7 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $6 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 425 -2.1% -11.4% 77% 54% -11.4%
≤30d 478 -2.5% -11.8% 77% 54% -11.4%
≤90d 478 -2.5% -11.8% 77% 54% -11.4%
all 478 -2.5% -11.8% 77% 54% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover134.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 54% -11.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 26% -19.9%
15% -28.0% 11% -27.7%
20% -35.0% 3% -34.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1087 history records