Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:10:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc449…7cf3
crypto · 782 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$5,183 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,183 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$5,183
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses292 / 490
Open positions0
Markets (closed)782 / 782
History coverage12d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day274.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 782 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$301
7 days−$2,621
14 days−$5,183
30 days−$5,183
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$32 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 −$21 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $93 +$27 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $32 +$34 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $42 −$16 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$32 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$19 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $21 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$45 +106%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$4 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $11 +$7 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $42 +$52 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$31 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$4 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 −$3 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $34 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$42 +133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $32 −$29 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $63 −$18 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $63 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$9 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$26 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$6 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $85 −$56 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$30 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$23 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$12 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$4 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$43 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $84 +$30 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$19 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$24 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $42 +$4 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $75 −$57 -76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $40 −$33 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $21 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $42 −$36 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $74 −$40 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$9 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$5,166
other 0% −$17
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $69 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Down 7¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $32 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 7¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Down 67¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $66 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $21 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 5¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $29 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $20 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-19.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 424 -14.7% -22.9% 36% 30% -24.0%
≤30d 782 -11.2% -19.6% 37% 32% -23.4%
≤90d 782 -11.2% -19.6% 37% 32% -23.4%
all 782 -11.2% -19.6% 37% 32% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover274.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.6% 32% -23.4%
10% ← realistic here -27.3% 28% -30.8%
15% -34.3% 24% -37.4%
20% -40.8% 19% -43.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records