Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:23:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc458…fcdb
other · 236 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$81 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$81 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$81
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses12 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)236 / 236
History coverage123d
Avg bet$204
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 236 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$16
14 days−$25
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $159 $0 -0%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $478 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $447 −$2 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $49 $0 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $251 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $253 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $111 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $429 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 11 $542 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $101 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $638 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $365 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $433 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $211 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $148 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $319 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 09 $367 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $310 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $291 −$1 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $432 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $52 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $337 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $341 −$1 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 07 $516 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $52 $0 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 07 $431 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $402 $0 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 06 $179 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $375 $0 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $427 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $466 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $209 −$1 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $298 −$1 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 04 $231 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $413 $0 -0%
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $145 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $474 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $217 $0 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $340 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 02 $119 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 01 $124 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 01 $126 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 01 $252 $0 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $286 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $184 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 30 $126 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 30 $220 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 29 $442 $0 +0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $461 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $893 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$37
sports 22% −$18
politics 10% −$7
culture 8% −$8
crypto 6% −$4
economics 5% −$6
world 4% −$1
tech 0% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $49 1h
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $49 2h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $49 5h
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 97¢ $49 7h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $49 7h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $49 9h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $49 11h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $49 13h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $49 13h
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $50 15h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $50 17h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $50 18h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $50 21h
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $50 23h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $50 30h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $50 31h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $50 37h
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $50 38h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $50 44h
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $50 45h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $50 47h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $50 2d
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $50 2d
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $50 2d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $50 2d
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $50 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $50 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $50 2d
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $48 2d
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $48 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 77 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 183 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
all 236 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1309 history records