Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:18:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc487…b127
crypto · 41 markets active 1d ago
0.5score
+$12,611 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$6,727 · open +$5,875
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$41,611
Realized+$6,727
Unrealized+$5,875
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses23 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)78%
Est. fees paid−$234
Open positions5
Markets (closed)36 / 41
Avg bet$3,901
Trades / day24.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 5 History 36 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,941
7 days+$7,869
14 days+$6,724
30 days+$6,727
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? No 59¢ 78¢ $20,524 $27,082 +$6,558 (+32%)
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? Yes 52¢ 46¢ $11,861 $10,390 −$1,472 (-12%)
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 72¢ 88¢ $3,162 $3,898 +$735 (+23%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Yes 16¢ 31¢ $110 $213 +$104 (+94%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 52¢ 19¢ $79 $28 −$50 (-64%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? No 24¢ 0¢ $1,677 $0 −$1,677 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $4,730 $0 −$4,730 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Yes 25¢ 0¢ $2,612 $0 −$2,612 (-100%)
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5? Yes 24¢ 0¢ $6,977 $0 −$6,977 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 88¢ 0¢ $264 $0 −$264 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Knicks 43¢ 0¢ $3,265 $0 −$3,265 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $265 −$264 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $1,681 −$1,677 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9? Jun 09 $1,459 +$469 +32%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $3,329 −$3,265 -98%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 8? Jun 08 $3,432 +$351 +10%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $11,163 +$6,344 +57%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? Jun 05 $4,121 +$5,912 +144%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 5? Jun 05 $2,742 −$2,612 -95%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 5? Jun 05 $7,273 −$6,977 -96%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 5? Jun 05 $4,795 −$4,730 -99%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Jun 04 $40 +$20 +50%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 4? Jun 04 $6,988 +$8,788 +126%
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? Jun 04 $20 −$20 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 04 $13,847 −$13,827 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June? Jun 04 $228 +$230 +101%
Will Solana dip to $70 in June? Jun 04 $4,157 +$2,176 +52%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June? Jun 03 $8,976 +$1,843 +20%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in June? Jun 03 $1,598 +$767 +48%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 3? Jun 03 $13,467 +$3,733 +28%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $2,304 +$898 +39%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 2? Jun 02 $107 +$50 +47%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 2? Jun 02 $11,498 +$7,152 +62%
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first? Jun 02 $972 +$66 +7%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? Jun 02 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in May? Jun 02 $115 −$115 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on June 1? Jun 02 $2,379 −$2,369 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on June 1? Jun 02 $1,591 +$265 +17%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $8,380 +$1,674 +20%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on June 1? Jun 01 $886 +$614 +69%
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in May? Jun 01 $5,159 +$1,243 +24%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 31 $54 −$26 -49%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 31 $25 −$25 -100%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $30 +$25 +83%
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap May 30 $50 +$10 +19%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Mariners May 30 $101 +$28 +27%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $10 +$3 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% +$23,676
sports 18% −$11,084
other 0% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? SELL $60 93¢ $37 31h
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 88¢ $265 31h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $43 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $1 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $0 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $116 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $8 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $1 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $78 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $25 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $1 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $44 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $46 46h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 22¢ $220 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 25¢ $433 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 25¢ $68 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 25¢ $499 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 19¢ $80 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? BUY No 20¢ $16 2d
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 9? BUY No 86¢ $17 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Spurs 71¢ $26 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 67¢ $25 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 39¢ $204 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 41¢ $43 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 41¢ $2 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 41¢ $1 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 41¢ $787 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 41¢ $7 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 41¢ $2 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 41¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 -8.2% -16.9% 57% 43% +18.5%
≤30d 36 -3.8% -13.0% 64% 58% -4.6%
≤90d 36 -3.8% -13.0% 64% 58% -4.6%
all 36 -3.8% -13.0% 64% 58% -4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.9 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 58% -4.6%
10% -21.3% 47% -13.7%
15% ← realistic here -28.9% 33% -22.0%
20% -35.9% 25% -29.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $41,611.00 · official $41,611.00 (match) · 535 history records