trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 23 | -42.1% | -47.6% | 30% | 30% | -68.5% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -44.5% | -49.8% | 29% | 29% | -70.0% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -44.5% | -49.8% | 29% | 29% | -70.0% |
| all | 24 | -44.5% | -49.8% | 29% | 29% | -70.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -49.8% | 29% | -70.0% |
| 10% | -54.6% | 29% | -72.8% |
| 15% | -59.0% | 29% | -75.5% |
| 20% | -63.0% | 17% | -77.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 77¢ | 76¢ | $200 | $199 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Brahim Díaz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 75¢ | 69¢ | $98 | $90 | −$8 (-8%) |
| Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 12¢ | $100 | $82 | −$18 (-18%) |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | Portugal | 54¢ | 54¢ | $50 | $50 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | No | 17¢ | 14¢ | $51 | $40 | −$10 (-21%) |
| Cristiano Ronaldo: 1+ goals | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $35 | $35 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $30 | $31 | +$1 (+5%) |
| Will Gabriel Magalhães score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 20¢ | $30 | $20 | −$10 (-32%) |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-25%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$2 | -15% |
| Spread: Saudi Arabia (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $10 | +$20 | +197% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $31 | −$30 | -98% |
| Maduro out in 2025? | Jun 15 | $456 | −$456 | -100% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 15 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 0 Egypt? | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 15 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Spread: Egypt (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) | Jun 15 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goals | Jun 15 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 15 | $41 | −$41 | -100% |
| Spain leading at halftime? | Jun 15 | $53 | −$53 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 15 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Kai Havertz: 1+ goals | Jun 14 | $20 | +$11 | +52% |
| Germany leading at halftime? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$21 | +103% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $51 | +$28 | +55% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $20 | +$10 | +48% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $50 | +$22 | +44% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $47 | −$45 | -96% |