trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 54¢ | 54¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Knicks | 36¢ | 36¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 48¢ | 46¢ | $4 | $4 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $6 | +$9 | +150% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET | Jun 11 | $3 | −$2 | -59% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET | Jun 11 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +42% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET | Jun 11 | $2 | −$1 | -38% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET | Jun 11 | $1 | +$4 | +351% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +61% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | +21.6% | +10.0% | 55% | 45% | +12.8% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +21.6% | +10.0% | 55% | 45% | +12.8% |
| ≤90d | 11 | +21.6% | +10.0% | 55% | 45% | +12.8% |
| all | 11 | +21.6% | +10.0% | 55% | 45% | +12.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +10.0% | 45% | +12.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -0.5% | 45% | +2.0% |
| 15% | -10.1% | 36% | -7.8% |
| 20% | -18.9% | 27% | -16.9% |