trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 15 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 47% | 7% | -9.0% |
| ≤90d | 15 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 47% | 7% | -9.0% |
| all | 24 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 54% | 4% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 4% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | Jun 20 | $44 | +$1 | +1% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $29 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 19 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 18 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 18 | $44 | $0 | -1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 08 | $61 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 07 | $1 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +16% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | Jun 05 | $28 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 05 | $3 | $0 | +6% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 04 | $38 | +$1 | +2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 03 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 01 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Palmeiras win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 13 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 National League Championshi | Jun 26 | $7 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June? | Jun 01 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | May 19 | $8 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $75k in May? | May 17 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | May 14 | $8 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Giants draft Abdul Carter? | Apr 26 | $8 | $0 | -6% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League? | Mar 21 | $12 | −$2 | -17% |