Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:35:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

C4
0xc4db…7e0c
sports · 647 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,952 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$98 · open +$527
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13,363
Realized+$98
Unrealized+$527
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses271 / 277
Whale WR (big bets)52%
Est. fees paid−$2,040
Open positions143
Markets (closed)548 / 647
History coverage6d
Avg bet$152
Trades / day533.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 143 History 548 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15,483
7 days+$98
14 days+$98
30 days+$98
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: IR Iran 0 - 3 New Zealand? No 94¢ 98¢ $1,050 $1,095 +$45 (+4%)
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? No 86¢ 88¢ $860 $880 +$20 (+2%)
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria? No 83¢ 83¢ $837 $837 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Iraq 0 - 3 Norway? No 84¢ 85¢ $818 $829 +$11 (+1%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? No 87¢ 88¢ $667 $675 +$8 (+1%)
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? No 83¢ 84¢ $658 $662 +$4 (+1%)
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Algeria? No 86¢ 88¢ $622 $640 +$18 (+3%)
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo? No 85¢ 87¢ $583 $596 +$14 (+2%)
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-14? No 51¢ 55¢ $510 $545 +$35 (+7%)
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Korea Republic? No 94¢ 97¢ $470 $487 +$17 (+4%)
Londrina EC vs. Avaí FC: O/U 2.5 Over 41¢ 41¢ $410 $410 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Japan? No 84¢ 84¢ $358 $360 +$2 (+1%)
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? No 86¢ 88¢ $309 $316 +$7 (+2%)
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-05-12? No 39¢ 53¢ $210 $285 +$75 (+36%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? No 9¢ 12¢ $182 $253 +$71 (+39%)
Exact Score: Saudi Arabia 2 - 1 Uruguay? No 92¢ 96¢ $202 $211 +$9 (+4%)
Exact Score: Belgium 2 - 1 Egypt? No 86¢ 88¢ $193 $199 +$6 (+3%)
Set Handicap: Burel (-1.5) vs Lim (+1.5) Lim 39¢ 50¢ $155 $198 +$44 (+28%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 0 Japan? No 86¢ 88¢ $186 $191 +$5 (+3%)
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 0 Tunisia? No 83¢ 84¢ $180 $184 +$3 (+2%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? No 6¢ 6¢ $180 $172 −$7 (-4%)
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 Korea Republic? No 86¢ 89¢ $166 $172 +$6 (+3%)
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 DR Congo? No 88¢ 91¢ $162 $168 +$6 (+3%)
Nottingham 2: Rei Sakamoto vs Yibing Wu Rei Sakamoto 32¢ 34¢ $161 $168 +$7 (+4%)
Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 DR Congo? No 94¢ 97¢ $159 $165 +$6 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Everton de Viña del Mar 2 - 2 CD Palestino? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Everton de Viña del Mar 0 - 2 CD Palestino? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: CD Ñublense 0 - 0 CD Huachipato? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: Everton de Viña del Mar 2 - 0 CD Palestino? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: CD Ñublense 2 - 0 CD Huachipato? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Everton de Viña del Mar 0 - 1 CD Palestino? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: CD Ñublense 0 - 1 CD Huachipato? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: CSD Colo-Colo 1 - 1 CD Cobresal? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: CD Ñublense 1 - 2 CD Huachipato? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 2 Tunisia? Jun 14 $30 +$2 +6%
FK Haugesund vs. Ranheim: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $5 +$11 +221%
Exact Score: EC Juventude 3 - 0 AA Ponte Preta? Jun 14 $0 +$1 +200%
Exact Score: EC Juventude 1 - 1 AA Ponte Preta? Jun 14 $15 +$1 +6%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +16%
Spread: Odds BK (-1.5) Jun 14 $6 +$1 +13%
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $205 +$10 +5%
Will Raufoss IL win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Julia Avdeeva vs Eva Vedder Jun 14 $284 +$716 +252%
Exact Score: São Bernardo FC 0 - 0 SC Recife? Jun 14 $24 +$1 +6%
HSBC Championships: Arthur Fery vs Toby Samuel Jun 14 $225 −$14 -6%
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $161 +$26 +16%
HSBC Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 14 $13 −$1 -7%
Nottingham 2: Henrique Rocha vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 14 $4 $0 +7%
Set Handicap: Zaytseva (-1.5) vs Mettraux (+1.5) Jun 14 $237 +$268 +113%
Set Handicap: Mi (-1.5) vs Yoruk (+1.5) Jun 14 $15 +$24 +156%
Set 1 Winner: Domingues vs Gomez Jun 14 $235 −$235 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Avdeeva vs Vedder Jun 14 $19 −$19 -100%
Avdeeva vs. Vedder: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Set Handicap: Avdeeva (-1.5) vs Vedder (+1.5) Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 5.5 Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 14 $7 +$1 +20%
Stroemsgodset IF vs. Raufoss IL: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $29 +$3 +9%
Set 1 Winner: Gorzny vs Baris Jun 14 $14 +$2 +12%
Set Handicap: Mckennon (-1.5) vs Curbelo (+1.5) Jun 14 $60 −$60 -100%
Nottingham Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Tereza Valentova Jun 14 $31 +$2 +8%
Halle Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 14 $231 +$38 +17%
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Senegal? Jun 14 $42 +$2 +6%
Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $1 $0 +16%
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Türkiye? Jun 14 $791 +$145 +18%
ITF Curtea de Arges: Radu Mihai Papoe vs Anas Mazdrashki Jun 14 $14 +$4 +31%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Himeno Sakatsume vs Alicia Dudeney Jun 14 $56 −$3 -6%
Paris Basketball vs. Monaco Jun 14 $165 −$7 -4%
Ethiopia vs. Malawi: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $10 −$3 -28%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 14 $0 $0 +129%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $0 +$1 +245%
Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco? Jun 14 $1 $0 +15%
Sanchis vs. Quilez: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5 Jun 14 $0 +$1 +376%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Sofia Kenin Jun 14 $31 +$2 +5%
Stroemsgodset IF vs. Raufoss IL: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $8 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 66% −$3,842
other 28% +$5,657
world 3% −$1,148
crypto 3% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 2 Tunisia? SELL No 94¢ $5 4m
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 2 Tunisia? SELL No 94¢ $3 4m
FK Haugesund vs. Ranheim: O/U 5.5 SELL Over 18¢ $16 5m
Exact Score: EC Juventude 3 - 0 AA Ponte Preta? SELL Yes 9¢ $1 9m
Set Handicap: Alves (-1.5) vs Rivera (+1.5) BUY Alves 29¢ $3 17m
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 2 Tunisia? SELL No 94¢ $9 17m
Set Handicap: Alves (-1.5) vs Rivera (+1.5) BUY Alves 29¢ $5 17m
Exact Score: EC Juventude 1 - 1 AA Ponte Preta? SELL No 89¢ $1 33m
Shelton vs. Kyrgios: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Under 46¢ $76 33m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5 SELL Under 37¢ $6 39m
Exact Score: Ecuador 1 - 2 Curaçao? BUY No 93¢ $42 40m
Spread: Odds BK (-1.5) SELL Odds BK 35¢ $0 40m
Spread: Odds BK (-1.5) SELL Odds BK 35¢ $7 40m
Nottingham 2: Tomas Barrios vs Benjamin Bonzi BUY Tomas Barrios 20¢ $12 41m
Exact Score: Sweden 1 - 2 Tunisia? SELL No 94¢ $15 44m
Parma: Marco Cecchinato vs Carlo Alberto Caniato BUY Carlo Alberto Caniato 37¢ $1 46m
Set Handicap: Burel (-1.5) vs Lim (+1.5) BUY Lim 39¢ $3 54m
Set Handicap: Burel (-1.5) vs Lim (+1.5) BUY Lim 39¢ $64 54m
Set Handicap: Burel (-1.5) vs Lim (+1.5) BUY Lim 39¢ $88 54m
Set 1 Winner: Burel vs Lim BUY Lim 24¢ $7 54m
Set 1 Winner: Burel vs Lim BUY Lim 24¢ $113 54m
Set 1 Winner: Mochizuki vs Zheng SELL Mochizuki 44¢ $2 58m
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 43¢ $38 1h
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 9.5 Total Corners SELL Over 44¢ $178 1h
Parma: Daniel Galan vs Zsombor Piros BUY Daniel Galan 36¢ $1 1h
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 51¢ $255 1h
Will RS Berkane win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 51¢ $255 1h
Poznan: Michele Ribecai vs Henri Squire BUY Michele Ribecai 36¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: EC Juventude 1 - 1 AA Ponte Preta? SELL No 89¢ $15 1h
Exact Score: EC Juventude 2 - 0 AA Ponte Preta? SELL No 86¢ $60 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)+6.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 548 +17.8% +6.6% 49% 37% -8.8%
≤30d 548 +17.8% +6.6% 49% 37% -8.8%
≤90d 548 +17.8% +6.6% 49% 37% -8.8%
all 548 +17.8% +6.6% 49% 37% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover533.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.6% 37% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -3.6% 22% -17.6%
15% -12.9% 20% -25.5%
20% -21.5% 19% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $13,363.22 · official $13,361.71 (match) · 3500 history records